Projected Income Statement: Hesai Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - -895 -1,269 -2,570 -937 -1,513 -1,466 -1,353
Change - - -41.79% -102.52% 63.54% -61.55% 3.11% 7.71%
Announcement Date 1/17/23 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.4 414.7 271.4 342.2 434.8 366.8 379.1
Change - 72.5% -34.56% 26.1% 27.05% -15.64% 3.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -936.4 -357.4 -207.9 -225.2 -71 311.6 565.7
Change - 61.83% 41.84% -8.35% 68.47% 538.81% 81.57%
Announcement Date 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Hesai Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - -26.99% -25.86% -3.52% 9.66% 11.15% 16.47% 19.08%
EBIT Margin (%) - -31.45% -30.45% -9.86% 5.57% 7.72% 12.97% 15.97%
EBT Margin (%) - -25.01% -25.32% -4.87% 15.42% 12.41% 16.13% 18.78%
Net margin (%) - -62.13% -25.36% -4.93% 14.4% 11.6% 14.46% 16.51%
FCF margin (%) - -77.86% -19.04% -10.01% -7.44% -1.65% 5.12% 7.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 125.32% 75.09% 203.03% -51.67% -14.23% 35.43% 42.62%

Profitability

        
ROA - -19.17% -10.02% -1.76% 5.05% 4.1% 6.55% 8.69%
ROE - -6.64% -67.31% -2.63% 6.76% 5.51% 9.07% 12.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 19.99% 22.09% 13.06% 11.3% 10.11% 6.03% 4.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - -74.06% -85.44% -371.22% 116.97% 90.71% 36.62% 24.72%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -25.67% -116.02% -130.55% -151.95% -612.34% 117.72% 67.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - -6.024 0.4589 0.4916 0.7989 4.009 4.888 7.95
Change - - 107.62% 7.11% 62.53% 401.76% 21.95% 62.63%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - -27.22 30.41 29.98 64.38 60.09 66.46 74.76
Change - - 211.69% -1.41% 114.78% -6.66% 10.59% 12.5%
EPS 1 -23.39 -6.47 -3.81 -0.79 2.98 3.253 6.01 8.797
Change - 72.34% 41.11% 79.27% 477.22% 9.15% 84.76% 46.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - 125,535 127,478 156,142 156,440 156,440 156,440
Announcement Date 1/17/23 3/15/23 3/11/24 3/10/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 36.1x 19.6x
PBR 1.96x 1.77x
EV / Sales 3.92x 2.78x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
117.55CNY
Average target price
190.21CNY
Spread / Average Target
+61.81%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise