Projected Income Statement: Harvey Norman Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Harvey Norman Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - Harvey Norman Holdings Limited
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 1,655 1,960 2,006 2,016 2,287 1,737 1,740 1,754
Change - 18.43% 2.35% 0.5% 13.44% -24.05% 0.17% 0.8%
Announcement Date 8/30/22 8/30/23 8/29/24 8/28/25 8/27/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Harvey Norman Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 171.3 315.3 319.8 260.7 280.5 244.2 232.8 252
Change - 84.05% 1.41% -18.47% 7.58% -12.93% -4.7% 8.26%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 426 364.9 366.7 433.6 256.7 342.6 404.1 428.6
Change - -14.33% 0.5% 18.23% -40.79% 33.47% 17.93% 6.07%
Announcement Date 8/30/22 8/30/23 8/29/24 8/28/25 8/27/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Harvey Norman Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.89% 26.45% 21.86% 25.31% 25.19% 22.18% 22.27% 22.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.48% 20.3% 15.88% 19.51% 19.58% 16.16% 16.57% 16.83%
EBT Margin (%) 25.31% 18.15% 13.18% 16.87% 16.87% 13.39% 13.93% 14.24%
Net margin (%) 18.01% 12.62% 8.58% 11.6% 11.28% 9.69% 9.67% 9.65%
FCF margin (%) 9.45% 8.54% 8.92% 9.71% 5.48% 7.61% 8.5% 8.66%
FCF / Net Income (%) 52.49% 67.64% 104.05% 83.7% 48.58% 78.51% 87.9% 89.7%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.66% 7.23% 4.52% 6.36% 6.14% 5.82% 6.03% 6.19%
ROE 19.97% 12.41% 7.89% 8.4% 8.32% 8.23% 8.95% 9.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.15x 1.73x 2.23x 1.78x 1.94x 1.74x 1.64x 1.57x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.89x 5.37x 5.47x 4.65x 8.91x 5.07x 4.31x 4.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.8% 7.38% 7.78% 5.84% 5.99% 5.42% 4.9% 5.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.92% 27.89% 35.6% 23.07% 23.77% 24.44% 21.98% 22.61%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.22% 86.42% 87.2% 60.13% 109.26% 71.28% 57.6% 58.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4787 0.545 0.5498 0.556 0.4307 0.5831 0.573 0.6263
Change - 13.85% 0.88% 1.13% -22.54% 35.38% -1.73% 9.3%
Dividend per Share 1 0.375 0.25 0.22 0.265 0.275 0.2568 0.2801 0.2928
Change - -33.33% -12% 20.45% 3.77% -6.61% 9.07% 4.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.42 3.556 3.605 3.848 3.93 4.017 4.126 4.224
Change - 3.98% 1.38% 6.73% 2.14% 2.2% 2.72% 2.39%
EPS 1 0.6504 0.4323 0.2823 0.415 0.4236 0.3456 0.3613 0.3836
Change - -33.53% -34.7% 47.01% 2.07% -18.41% 4.54% 6.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,246,007 1,246,007 1,246,007 1,246,007 1,246,007 1,246,007 1,246,007 1,246,007
Announcement Date 8/30/22 8/30/23 8/29/24 8/28/25 8/27/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 11.7x 11.2x
PBR 1.01x 0.98x
EV / Sales 1.51x 1.43x
Yield 6.34% 6.92%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Harvey Norman Holdings Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Harvey Norman Holdings Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Harvey Norman Holdings Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Ratings Surperformance© - Harvey Norman Holdings Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
4.050AUD
Average target price
4.565AUD
Spread / Average Target
+12.71%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Harvey Norman Holdings Limited
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