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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 33.10 EUR | +0.15% |
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+1.53% | +10.89% |
| 05-11 | GL events valuation remains attractive, says Invest Securities |  |
| 04-16 | GL events in the red despite solid start to the year | |
Projected Income Statement: GL events
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 741.2 | 1,310 | 1,419 | 1,635 | 1,717 | 1,879 | 1,941 | 1,970 |
| Change | - | 76.77% | 8.32% | 15.21% | 4.99% | 9.44% | 3.33% | 1.47% |
| EBITDA 1 | 120.3 | 168.6 | 258.7 | 292.6 | 316 | 323.2 | 342.2 | 366.3 |
| Change | - | 40.14% | 53.42% | 13.13% | 7.99% | 2.28% | 5.87% | 7.07% |
| EBIT 1 | 72.6 | 112 | 146.4 | 151.6 | 176.2 | 201.3 | 217.5 | 227.5 |
| Change | - | 54.28% | 30.67% | 3.55% | 16.23% | 14.3% | 8.01% | 4.6% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -26.99 | -39.97 | -45.22 | -49.76 | -54.24 | -44 | -42.75 | -49.8 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 41.06 | 75.34 | 96.26 | 111.4 | 126 | 154.2 | 179.6 | 184.3 |
| Change | - | 83.48% | 27.78% | 15.72% | 13.12% | 22.39% | 16.44% | 2.63% |
| Net income 1 | 15.2 | 52.7 | 59.95 | 73.44 | 81.74 | 96.78 | 106.7 | 124.2 |
| Change | - | 246.72% | 13.75% | 22.5% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 10.28% | 16.37% |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/5/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: GL events
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 458 | 492 | 500 | 517 | 471 | 457 | 392 | 311 |
| Change | - | 7.42% | 1.63% | 3.4% | -8.9% | -3.03% | -14.22% | -20.66% |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/5/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: GL events
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 56.67 | 58.03 | 109.2 | 114.1 | 81.02 | 90.8 | 104.4 | 90.85 |
| Change | - | 2.4% | 88.15% | 4.53% | -29.02% | 12.08% | 14.94% | -12.95% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 64.94 | 151.2 | 160.4 | 85.33 | 160.6 | 88.5 | 121.3 | 135 |
| Change | - | 132.82% | 6.1% | -46.81% | 88.22% | -44.9% | 37.02% | 11.32% |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/5/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: GL events
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 16.23% | 12.87% | 18.22% | 17.89% | 18.41% | 17.2% | 17.62% | 18.6% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 9.79% | 8.55% | 10.31% | 9.27% | 10.26% | 10.72% | 11.2% | 11.55% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 5.54% | 5.75% | 6.78% | 6.81% | 7.34% | 8.21% | 9.25% | 9.36% |
| Net margin (%) | 2.05% | 4.02% | 4.22% | 4.49% | 4.76% | 5.15% | 5.5% | 6.3% |
| FCF margin (%) | 8.76% | 11.54% | 11.3% | 5.22% | 9.36% | 4.71% | 6.25% | 6.85% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 427.24% | 286.88% | 267.59% | 116.19% | 196.5% | 91.45% | 113.62% | 108.7% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | 1.81% | 2.12% | 2.5% | 2.56% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| ROE | 3.91% | 14.13% | 14.07% | 17.16% | 17.42% | 17.96% | 17.54% | 16.55% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.81x | 2.92x | 1.93x | 1.77x | 1.49x | 1.42x | 1.15x | 0.85x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 7.06x | 3.26x | 3.12x | 6.05x | 2.93x | 5.17x | 3.23x | 2.3x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.65% | 4.43% | 7.69% | 6.98% | 4.72% | 4.83% | 5.38% | 4.61% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 47.11% | 34.42% | 42.21% | 39% | 25.64% | 28.09% | 30.5% | 24.8% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 87.27% | 38.38% | 68.06% | 133.75% | 50.44% | 102.6% | 86.06% | 67.3% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 4.556 | 6.978 | 9.047 | 6.653 | 8.059 | 6.189 | 6.678 | 6.678 |
| Change | - | 53.16% | 29.65% | -26.47% | 21.14% | -23.2% | 7.89% | 0% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.35 | 0.7 | 0.9 | - | 1.025 | 1.15 | 1.1 |
| Change | - | - | 100% | 28.57% | - | - | 12.2% | -4.35% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.11 | 14.06 | 15.03 | 15.7 | 16.3 | 17.83 | 20.31 | 22.78 |
| Change | - | 26.48% | 6.89% | 4.47% | 3.86% | 9.38% | 13.89% | 12.14% |
| EPS 1 | 0.51 | 1.76 | 2.01 | 2.454 | 2.73 | 3.243 | 3.596 | 3.908 |
| Change | - | 245.1% | 14.2% | 22.07% | 11.27% | 18.79% | 10.9% | 8.67% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 29,171 | 28,870 | 29,331 | 29,358 | 29,332 | 29,332 | 29,332 | 29,332 |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/5/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.2x | 9.2x |
| PBR | 1.86x | 1.63x |
| EV / Sales | 0.76x | 0.7x |
| Yield | 3.1% | 3.47% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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