Projected Income Statement: Forterra plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Forterra plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -24.4 23.9 117 106 75.6 72.5 57.6 38.6
Change - 197.95% 389.54% -9.4% -28.68% -4.1% -20.55% -32.99%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/26/24 3/12/25 3/11/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Forterra plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 33 44.1 34.1 25.4 14.5 14.5 14.49 15.02
Change - 33.64% -22.68% -25.51% -42.91% 0% -0.09% 3.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35.2 44.9 -45.3 26.4 53.6 27.46 31.47 36.22
Change - 27.56% -200.89% 158.28% 103.03% -48.77% 14.6% 15.11%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/26/24 3/12/25 3/11/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Forterra plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.01% 19.58% 16.77% 15.1% 15.96% 15.32% 16.17% 17.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.58% 15.96% 11% 9.06% 10.88% 9.91% 10.75% 12.1%
EBT Margin (%) 15.33% 16% 4.94% 7.2% 6.04% 8.16% 8.94% 10.02%
Net margin (%) 12.28% 12.91% 3.7% 5.08% 4.4% 6.16% 6.68% 7.53%
FCF margin (%) 9.5% 9.86% -13.08% 7.67% 13.89% 7.31% 7.95% 8.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.36% 76.36% -353.91% 150.86% 315.29% 118.73% 119.06% 113.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.83% 15.73% 6.29% 3.95% 3.96% 4.7% 6.72% 8.25%
ROE 20.73% 25.83% 10.32% 8.09% 7.4% 9.09% 10.97% 12.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.27x 2.02x 2.03x 1.23x 1.26x 0.9x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.53x -2.59x 4.01x 1.41x 2.64x 1.83x 1.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.91% 9.68% 9.84% 7.38% 3.76% 3.86% 3.66% 3.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.87% 49.44% 58.69% 48.85% 23.54% 25.21% 22.64% 20.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 93.75% 98.22% -75.28% 96.21% 27.05% 52.81% 46.04% 41.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.296 0.4117 -0.0538 0.1997 0.3208 0.1823 0.2091 0.247
Change - 39.07% -113.07% 471.19% 60.64% -43.18% 14.71% 18.11%
Dividend per Share 1 0.099 0.146 0.044 0.03 0.062 0.0547 0.0692 0.0838
Change - 47.47% -69.86% -31.82% 106.67% -11.74% 26.39% 21.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.029 1.02 0.9765 1.068 1.105 1.111 1.176 1.262
Change - -0.92% -4.26% 9.36% 3.44% 0.56% 5.89% 7.3%
EPS 1 0.197 0.272 0.062 0.083 0.08 0.1103 0.1263 0.1512
Change - 38.07% -77.21% 33.87% -3.61% 37.87% 14.51% 19.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 227,258 206,948 206,112 210,614 210,370 205,306 205,306 205,306
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/26/24 3/12/25 3/11/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.4x 10.8x
PBR 1.23x 1.16x
EV / Sales 0.94x 0.86x
Yield 3.99% 5.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
1.370GBP
Average target price
1.988GBP
Spread / Average Target
+45.09%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise