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Market Closed -
Sao Paulo
12:47:53 2026-10-02 EDT
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 265.00 BRL | +2.75% |
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0.00% | +13.40% |
| 10-15 | Baird Adjusts Price Target on Fastenal to $60 From $59 | MT |
| 10-15 | Bernstein Adjusts Price Target on Fastenal Company to $47 From $42 | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,011 | 6,981 | 7,347 | 7,546 | 8,200 | 9,320 | 10,214 | 11,042 |
| Change | - | 16.13% | 5.24% | 2.71% | 8.67% | 13.65% | 9.6% | 8.11% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,388 | 1,630 | 1,706 | 1,685 | 1,835 | 2,114 | 2,325 | 2,541 |
| Change | - | 17.44% | 4.65% | -1.21% | 8.87% | 15.23% | 9.98% | 9.28% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,217 | 1,454 | 1,529 | 1,510 | 1,656 | 1,927 | 2,131 | 2,331 |
| Change | - | 19.4% | 5.17% | -1.22% | 9.65% | 16.41% | 10.59% | 9.37% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -9.6 | -13.6 | -6.7 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -2.9 | -3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,208 | 1,440 | 1,522 | 1,508 | 1,655 | 1,927 | 2,123 | 2,319 |
| Change | - | 19.23% | 5.69% | -0.91% | 9.74% | 16.43% | 10.15% | 9.24% |
| Net income 1 | 925 | 1,087 | 1,155 | 1,151 | 1,258 | 1,463 | 1,612 | 1,757 |
| Change | - | 17.5% | 6.27% | -0.38% | 9.37% | 16.27% | 10.16% | 9.04% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 154 | 325 | 38.7 | -55.8 | -152 | -62.6 | -155 | -397 |
| Change | - | 111.04% | -88.09% | -244.19% | -172.4% | 58.76% | -147.6% | -156.13% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 156.6 | 173.8 | 172.8 | 226.5 | 245.3 | 299.4 | 306.6 | 322.7 |
| Change | - | 10.98% | -0.58% | 31.08% | 8.3% | 22.05% | 2.39% | 5.27% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 613.5 | 767.2 | 1,260 | 946.8 | 1,051 | 1,122 | 1,271 | 1,370 |
| Change | - | 25.05% | 64.22% | -24.85% | 10.96% | 6.78% | 13.31% | 7.76% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 23.09% | 23.35% | 23.22% | 22.34% | 22.38% | 22.69% | 22.77% | 23.01% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 20.25% | 20.82% | 20.81% | 20.01% | 20.19% | 20.68% | 20.87% | 21.11% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.09% | 20.63% | 20.72% | 19.99% | 20.18% | 20.68% | 20.78% | 21% |
| Net margin (%) | 15.39% | 15.57% | 15.72% | 15.25% | 15.35% | 15.7% | 15.78% | 15.92% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10.21% | 10.99% | 17.15% | 12.55% | 12.81% | 12.04% | 12.45% | 12.41% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 66.32% | 70.59% | 109.08% | 82.29% | 83.49% | 76.67% | 78.87% | 77.95% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 22.39% | 24.57% | 25.63% | 25.12% | 25.81% | 26.9% | 28.2% | 28.4% |
| ROE | 32.03% | 35.03% | 35.47% | 33.04% | 33.29% | 35.38% | 36.25% | 36.32% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.11x | 0.2x | 0.02x | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.25x | 0.42x | 0.03x | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.61% | 2.49% | 2.35% | 3% | 2.99% | 3.21% | 3% | 2.92% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 11.28% | 10.66% | 10.13% | 13.44% | 13.37% | 14.16% | 13.18% | 12.7% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 25.53% | 22.65% | 13.72% | 23.92% | 23.35% | 26.69% | 24.12% | 23.56% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.667 | 0.8174 | 1.25 | 1.022 | 1.127 | 1.294 | 1.383 | 1.529 |
| Change | - | 22.55% | 52.94% | -18.29% | 10.29% | 14.84% | 6.93% | 10.5% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.7 | 0.78 | 0.875 | 0.9684 | 1.054 | 1.126 |
| Change | - | 10.71% | 12.9% | 11.43% | 12.18% | 10.67% | 8.85% | 6.87% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2.643 | 2.748 | 2.927 | 3.154 | 3.435 | 3.666 | 4.001 | 4.386 |
| Change | - | 3.95% | 6.54% | 7.74% | 8.92% | 6.74% | 9.12% | 9.63% |
| EPS 1 | 0.8 | 0.945 | 1.01 | 1 | 1.09 | 1.269 | 1.403 | 1.531 |
| Change | - | 18.12% | 6.88% | -0.99% | 9% | 16.43% | 10.55% | 9.14% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,150,327 | 1,145,520 | 1,143,200 | 1,145,773 | 1,148,036 | 1,147,265 | 1,147,265 | 1,147,265 |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 39.7x | 35.9x |
| PBR | 13.7x | 12.6x |
| EV / Sales | 6.2x | 5.64x |
| Yield | 1.92% | 2.09% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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