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14:58:23 2026-09-08 EDT
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
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0.00% | +8.16% |
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Projected Income Statement: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,011 | 6,981 | 7,347 | 7,546 | 8,200 | 9,294 | 10,155 | 10,994 |
| Change | - | 16.13% | 5.24% | 2.71% | 8.67% | 13.33% | 9.26% | 8.26% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,388 | 1,630 | 1,706 | 1,685 | 1,835 | 2,106 | 2,323 | 2,557 |
| Change | - | 17.44% | 4.65% | -1.21% | 8.87% | 14.75% | 10.34% | 10.04% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,217 | 1,454 | 1,529 | 1,510 | 1,656 | 1,912 | 2,118 | 2,319 |
| Change | - | 19.4% | 5.17% | -1.22% | 9.65% | 15.51% | 10.73% | 9.52% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -9.6 | -13.6 | -6.7 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -2.1 | -2.7 | -2.667 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,208 | 1,440 | 1,522 | 1,508 | 1,655 | 1,914 | 2,113 | 2,311 |
| Change | - | 19.23% | 5.69% | -0.91% | 9.74% | 15.66% | 10.41% | 9.33% |
| Net income 1 | 925 | 1,087 | 1,155 | 1,151 | 1,258 | 1,451 | 1,601 | 1,752 |
| Change | - | 17.5% | 6.27% | -0.38% | 9.37% | 15.34% | 10.29% | 9.48% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 154 | 325 | 38.7 | -55.8 | -152 | -110 | -210 | -313 |
| Change | - | 111.04% | -88.09% | -244.19% | -172.4% | 27.54% | -90.91% | -49.05% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 156.6 | 173.8 | 172.8 | 226.5 | 245.3 | 289 | 308 | 323.4 |
| Change | - | 10.98% | -0.58% | 31.08% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 6.57% | 5.03% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 613.5 | 767.2 | 1,260 | 946.8 | 1,051 | 1,097 | 1,282 | 1,347 |
| Change | - | 25.05% | 64.22% | -24.85% | 10.96% | 4.45% | 16.85% | 5.04% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Fastenal Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 23.09% | 23.35% | 23.22% | 22.34% | 22.38% | 22.66% | 22.88% | 23.25% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 20.25% | 20.82% | 20.81% | 20.01% | 20.19% | 20.58% | 20.85% | 21.1% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.09% | 20.63% | 20.72% | 19.99% | 20.18% | 20.6% | 20.81% | 21.02% |
| Net margin (%) | 15.39% | 15.57% | 15.72% | 15.25% | 15.35% | 15.62% | 15.76% | 15.94% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10.21% | 10.99% | 17.15% | 12.55% | 12.81% | 11.81% | 12.63% | 12.25% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 66.32% | 70.59% | 109.08% | 82.29% | 83.49% | 75.6% | 80.1% | 76.86% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 22.39% | 24.57% | 25.63% | 25.12% | 25.81% | 26.65% | 27.75% | 28.4% |
| ROE | 32.03% | 35.03% | 35.47% | 33.04% | 33.29% | 35.13% | 36.1% | 36.33% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.11x | 0.2x | 0.02x | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.25x | 0.42x | 0.03x | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.61% | 2.49% | 2.35% | 3% | 2.99% | 3.11% | 3.03% | 2.94% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 11.28% | 10.66% | 10.13% | 13.44% | 13.37% | 13.72% | 13.25% | 12.65% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 25.53% | 22.65% | 13.72% | 23.92% | 23.35% | 26.33% | 24.02% | 24.01% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.667 | 0.8174 | 1.25 | 1.022 | 1.127 | 1.261 | 1.34 | 1.509 |
| Change | - | 22.55% | 52.94% | -18.29% | 10.29% | 11.9% | 6.29% | 12.61% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.7 | 0.78 | 0.875 | 0.9784 | 1.057 | 1.139 |
| Change | - | 10.71% | 12.9% | 11.43% | 12.18% | 11.82% | 8% | 7.74% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2.643 | 2.748 | 2.927 | 3.154 | 3.435 | 3.677 | 4.009 | 4.399 |
| Change | - | 3.95% | 6.54% | 7.74% | 8.92% | 7.04% | 9.04% | 9.73% |
| EPS 1 | 0.8 | 0.945 | 1.01 | 1 | 1.09 | 1.262 | 1.398 | 1.53 |
| Change | - | 18.12% | 6.88% | -0.99% | 9% | 15.81% | 10.73% | 9.47% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,150,327 | 1,145,520 | 1,143,200 | 1,145,773 | 1,148,036 | 1,147,498 | 1,147,498 | 1,147,498 |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/18/24 | 1/17/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 40.2x | 36.3x |
| PBR | 13.8x | 12.7x |
| EV / Sales | 6.25x | 5.71x |
| Yield | 1.93% | 2.08% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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