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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 83.00 USD | +1.46% |
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-0.61% | -20.55% |
| 07-07 | Estee Lauder Lifts Restructuring Charges to $1.75 Billion | MT |
| 06-29 | The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.(NYSE:EL) added to Russell Midcap Growth Benchmark | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 16,229 | 17,741 | 15,937 | 15,609 | 14,323 | 14,975 | 15,553 | 16,197 |
| Change | - | 9.32% | -10.17% | -2.06% | -8.24% | 4.55% | 3.86% | 4.14% |
| EBITDA 1 | 3,723 | 4,227 | 2,567 | 2,413 | 1,975 | 2,459 | 2,816 | 3,131 |
| Change | - | 13.54% | -39.27% | -6% | -18.15% | 24.49% | 14.53% | 11.18% |
| EBIT 1 | 3,072 | 3,500 | 1,823 | 1,588 | 1,146 | 1,641 | 1,998 | 2,301 |
| Change | - | 13.93% | -47.91% | -12.89% | -27.83% | 43.2% | 21.72% | 15.19% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -122 | -137 | -124 | -211 | -243 | -253.8 | -256 | -246.8 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,331 | 3,036 | 1,397 | 772 | -1,040 | 675.1 | 1,675 | 2,063 |
| Change | - | -8.86% | -53.99% | -44.74% | -234.72% | 164.91% | 148.18% | 23.14% |
| Net income 1 | 2,870 | 2,390 | 1,006 | 390 | -1,133 | 382.3 | 1,103 | 1,374 |
| Change | - | -16.72% | -57.91% | -61.23% | -390.51% | 133.74% | 188.49% | 24.61% |
| Announcement Date | 8/19/21 | 8/18/22 | 8/18/23 | 8/19/24 | 8/20/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 611 | 1,455 | 4,085 | 4,376 | 4,396 | 6,250 | 5,756 | 4,942 |
| Change | - | 138.13% | 180.76% | 7.12% | 0.46% | 42.17% | -7.9% | -14.14% |
| Announcement Date | 8/19/21 | 8/18/22 | 8/18/23 | 8/19/24 | 8/20/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 637 | 1,040 | 1,003 | 919 | 602 | 568.5 | 619.6 | 644.6 |
| Change | - | 63.27% | -3.56% | -8.37% | -34.49% | -5.56% | 8.99% | 4.04% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,994 | 2,000 | 728 | 1,441 | 670 | 791.4 | 1,284 | 1,577 |
| Change | - | -33.2% | -63.6% | 97.94% | -53.5% | 18.12% | 62.28% | 22.79% |
| Announcement Date | 8/19/21 | 8/18/22 | 8/18/23 | 8/19/24 | 8/20/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 22.94% | 23.83% | 16.11% | 15.46% | 13.79% | 16.42% | 18.1% | 19.33% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 18.93% | 19.73% | 11.44% | 10.17% | 8% | 10.96% | 12.84% | 14.2% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.52% | 17.11% | 8.77% | 4.95% | -7.26% | 4.51% | 10.77% | 12.74% |
| Net margin (%) | 17.68% | 13.47% | 6.31% | 2.5% | -7.91% | 2.55% | 7.09% | 8.49% |
| FCF margin (%) | 18.45% | 11.27% | 4.57% | 9.23% | 4.68% | 5.28% | 8.26% | 9.74% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 104.32% | 83.68% | 72.37% | 369.49% | -59.14% | 207% | 116.45% | 114.74% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 11.95% | 11.15% | 5.63% | 4.14% | 2.62% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.22% |
| ROE | 47.27% | 40.92% | 22.35% | 17.15% | 11.85% | 22.67% | 27.6% | 29.91% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.16x | 0.34x | 1.59x | 1.81x | 2.23x | 2.54x | 2.04x | 1.58x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.2x | 0.73x | 5.61x | 3.04x | 6.56x | 7.9x | 4.48x | 3.13x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.93% | 5.86% | 6.29% | 5.89% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.98% | 3.98% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 17.11% | 24.6% | 39.07% | 38.09% | 30.48% | 23.12% | 22% | 20.59% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 21.28% | 52% | 137.77% | 63.78% | 89.85% | 71.84% | 48.24% | 40.88% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 9.864 | 8.331 | 4.796 | 6.541 | 3.532 | 3.89 | 5.211 | 6.019 |
| Change | - | -15.54% | -42.43% | 36.38% | -46% | 10.13% | 33.95% | 15.5% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.07 | 2.33 | 2.58 | 2.64 | 1.71 | 1.406 | 1.537 | 1.782 |
| Change | - | 12.56% | 10.73% | 2.33% | -35.23% | -17.75% | 9.31% | 15.94% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 16.54 | 15.32 | 15.48 | 14.73 | 10.73 | 10.81 | 12.22 | 13.76 |
| Change | - | -7.39% | 1.02% | -4.83% | -27.13% | 0.69% | 13.05% | 12.63% |
| EPS 1 | 7.79 | 6.55 | 2.79 | 1.08 | -3.15 | 1.056 | 3.006 | 3.747 |
| Change | - | -15.92% | -57.4% | -61.29% | -391.67% | 133.53% | 184.68% | 24.62% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 362,512 | 357,347 | 357,413 | 358,564 | 359,752 | 361,795 | 361,795 | 361,795 |
| Announcement Date | 8/19/21 | 8/18/22 | 8/18/23 | 8/19/24 | 8/20/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 77.5x | 27.2x |
| PBR | 7.57x | 6.7x |
| EV / Sales | 2.39x | 2.27x |
| Yield | 1.72% | 1.88% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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