Projected Income Statement: EssilorLuxottica

Forecast Balance Sheet: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,698 7,063 5,859 10,970 10,850 9,553 8,469 7,136
Change - -27.17% -17.05% 87.23% -1.09% -11.95% -11.35% -15.74%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 2/23/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,030 1,572 1,531 1,520 1,525 1,610 1,751 1,843
Change - 52.62% -2.61% -0.72% 0.33% 5.6% 8.71% 5.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,792 2,260 3,330 2,400 2,796 3,843 4,076 4,492
Change - -19.05% 47.35% -27.93% 16.5% 37.45% 6.07% 10.19%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 2/23/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.69% 28.93% 28.16% 28.34% 22.79% 24.82% 24.48% 24.58%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.27% 16.8% 16.45% 16.65% 15.65% 15.94% 16.03% 16.39%
EBT Margin (%) 11.1% 12.38% 11.95% 12.42% 11.21% 12.15% 12.39% 13.17%
Net margin (%) 7.38% 8.79% 9.01% 8.9% 8.13% 8.98% 9.32% 9.96%
FCF margin (%) 14.09% 9.23% 13.11% 9.05% 9.81% 12.7% 12.4% 12.66%
FCF / Net Income (%) 190.84% 105.02% 145.48% 101.74% 120.78% 141.47% 133.07% 127.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.69% 4.77% 4.87% 5% 4.93% 4.93% 5.4% 5.79%
ROE 6.11% 7.89% 7.65% 7.94% 7.97% 8.63% 9.34% 10.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.77x 1x 0.82x 1.46x 1.67x 1.27x 1.05x 0.82x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.47x 3.13x 1.76x 4.57x 3.88x 2.49x 2.08x 1.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.2% 6.42% 6.03% 5.73% 5.35% 5.32% 5.33% 5.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.77% 22.19% 21.41% 20.23% 23.49% 21.44% 21.75% 21.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.89% 69.56% 45.98% 63.33% 54.54% 41.9% 42.95% 41.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.2 10.73 10.78 10.6 11.39 12.09 13.5 14.95
Change - 5.19% 0.48% -1.75% 7.47% 6.18% 11.63% 10.8%
Dividend per Share 1 2.51 3.23 3.95 3.95 4 4.092 4.486 4.915
Change - 28.69% 22.29% 0% 1.27% 2.29% 9.63% 9.58%
Book Value Per Share 1 80.18 84.11 86.28 87.77 83.69 87.29 90.35 93.42
Change - 4.89% 2.58% 1.73% -4.65% 4.3% 3.51% 3.39%
EPS 1 3.28 4.83 5.08 5.13 4.98 5.636 6.348 7.222
Change - 47.26% 5.18% 0.98% -2.92% 13.17% 12.63% 13.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 441,185 444,659 451,334 455,759 463,045 459,592 459,592 459,592
Announcement Date 3/11/22 2/23/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 26.6x 23.6x
PBR 1.72x 1.66x
EV / Sales 2.59x 2.35x
Yield 2.73% 2.99%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
149.95EUR
Average target price
235.65EUR
Spread / Average Target
+57.15%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. EL Stock
  4. ESL Stock
  5. Financials EssilorLuxottica