Projected Income Statement: Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,114 1,430 1,631 2,085 2,460 2,874 3,414 3,857
Change - 28.37% 14.06% 27.84% 17.99% 16.85% 18.79% 12.98%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,093 1,210 1,263 1,320 895.3
Change - 10.67% 4.39% 4.55% -32.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - -828.4 - - -
Change - - 100% - -
Announcement Date 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 85.08% 87.73% 90.17% 91.36% 91.35% 90.76% 90.96% 92.32%
EBIT Margin (%) 55.05% 56.82% 46.72% 64.19% 63.98% 62.06% 62.68% 62.42%
EBT Margin (%) 41.89% 47.38% 53.41% 45.43% 45.33% 44.1% 43.98% 43.96%
Net margin (%) 41.58% 46.82% 53.03% 45.15% 45.08% 42.91% 42.77% 42.29%
FCF margin (%) - - - - -147.61% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - -327.43% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 3.84% 4% 3.99% 4.18% 4.3%
ROE 5.3% 5.93% 6.98% 6.21% 6.52% 6.52% 6.73% 7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.69x 5.69x 5.03x 5.08x 4.8x 4.76x 4.83x 4.78x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -2.97x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - - 243.07% 215.52% 189.74% 169.98% 102.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - 266.05% 235.93% 209.06% 186.86% 110.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - -146% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.425 1.553 - 1.742 1.924 2.245 2.437 2.577
Change - 9% - - 10.47% 16.7% 8.53% 5.74%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1.075 1.12 1.16 1.205 1.278 1.329 1.367
Change - 7.5% 4.19% 3.57% 3.88% 6.03% 4.02% 2.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.34 17.48 - 19 21.42 21.9 22.28 23.11
Change - 6.96% - - 12.74% 2.24% 1.74% 3.71%
EPS 1 0.82 0.99 1.24 1.15 1.28 1.305 1.391 1.455
Change - 20.73% 25.25% -7.26% 11.3% 1.94% 6.61% 4.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 121,555 142,368 156,024 175,332 198,145 216,246 216,246 216,246
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.9x 22.4x
PBR 1.42x 1.4x
EV / Sales 14.5x 13.1x
Yield 4.1% 4.26%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
31.18USD
Average target price
37.10USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.99%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. EPRT Stock
  4. Financials Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.