Projected Income Statement: ERICSSON

Forecast Balance Sheet: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,151 -14,155 2,099 -18,390 -23,938 -51,823 -61,093 -68,492
Change - 59.73% 114.83% -976.13% -30.17% -116.49% -17.89% -12.11%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,548 4,228 3,297 2,340 2,630 3,271 3,327 3,519
Change - 19.17% -22.02% -29.03% 12.39% 24.39% 1.7% 5.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35,517 26,635 3,880 43,921 26,769 22,099 25,125 26,099
Change - -25.01% -85.43% 1,031.98% -39.05% -17.45% 13.7% 3.88%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.78% 13.98% 11.42% 20.32% 21.22% 16.39% 16.24% 16.6%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.9% 10.1% 6.87% 9.95% 17.31% 12.76% 12.84% 13.24%
EBT Margin (%) 12.59% 9.06% -8.85% 1.04% 16.18% 10.71% 12.15% 12.54%
Net margin (%) 9.9% 6.9% -10.04% 0.01% 12.01% 7.87% 8.94% 9.11%
FCF margin (%) 15.29% 9.81% 1.47% 17.72% 11.31% 9.77% 10.87% 11.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) 154.42% 142.25% -14.67% 219,605% 94.16% 124.1% 121.63% 121.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.86% 7.41% -8.18% 0.01% 9.95% 6.78% 7.55% 7.84%
ROE 23.2% 15.37% 10.38% 3.07% 29.61% 18.94% 20.47% 20.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.07x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.54x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.53% 1.56% 1.25% 0.94% 1.11% 1.45% 1.44% 1.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.59% 11.14% 10.96% 4.65% 5.24% 8.82% 8.87% 8.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.99% 15.87% 84.97% 5.33% 9.82% 14.8% 13.24% 13.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.72 9.257 2.155 13.88 9.887 7.689 8.464 8.955
Change - -21.04% -76.72% 544.19% -28.79% -22.23% 10.08% 5.8%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.85 3 3.035 3.154 3.285
Change - 0% 8% 5.56% 5.26% 1.16% 3.92% 4.15%
Book Value Per Share 1 32.64 40.44 29.25 28.3 32.86 33.53 36.09 39.08
Change - 23.9% -27.66% -3.27% 16.14% 2.03% 7.65% 8.28%
EPS 1 6.81 5.62 -7.94 0.01 8.51 5.382 6.504 6.988
Change - -17.47% -241.28% 100.13% 85,000% -36.76% 20.86% 7.44%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,329,738 3,330,142 3,330,142 3,332,672 3,333,287 3,283,682 3,283,682 3,283,682
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.2x 14.3x
PBR 2.77x 2.57x
EV / Sales 1.12x 1.05x
Yield 3.27% 3.4%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
92.80SEK
Average target price
96.53SEK
Spread / Average Target
+4.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise