Projected Income Statement: Dollarama Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 1,823 2,151 1,950 2,160 2,294 4,683 4,189 3,907
Change - 17.99% -9.34% 10.77% 6.2% 104.18% -10.55% -6.73%
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/29/23 4/4/24 4/3/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 159.5 156.8 278.8 246.9 272.8 482.7 365.4 318.3
Change - -1.68% 77.75% -11.44% 10.5% 76.94% -24.29% -12.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 906.4 712.2 1,252 1,397 1,488 1,195 1,598 1,982
Change - -21.42% 75.82% 11.59% 6.52% -19.7% 33.7% 24.04%
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/29/23 4/4/24 4/3/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.62% 30.15% 31.72% 33.09% 33.05% 31.93% 32.74% 33.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.74% 23.58% 25.49% 26.67% 26.71% 25.35% 26.49% 27.49%
EBT Margin (%) 20.63% 21.3% 23.02% 24.12% 24.31% 23.06% 24.03% 25.03%
Net margin (%) 15.31% 15.87% 17.22% 18.22% 18.05% 17.35% 17.98% 18.57%
FCF margin (%) 20.93% 14.1% 21.34% 21.79% 20.51% 14.69% 18.41% 21.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 136.67% 88.82% 123.92% 119.57% 113.67% 84.7% 102.41% 114.39%

Profitability

        
ROA 16% 18.05% 20.04% 19.9% 18.65% 17.15% 17.17% 19%
ROE 493.39% - 493.8% 148.94% 99.04% 83.36% 64.69% 68.57%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.42x 1.41x 1.05x 1.02x 0.96x 1.8x 1.47x 1.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.01x 3.02x 1.56x 1.55x 1.54x 3.92x 2.62x 1.97x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.68% 3.1% 4.75% 3.85% 3.76% 5.93% 4.21% 3.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.44% 10.3% 14.98% 11.63% 11.38% 18.58% 12.86% 10.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 17.6% 22.02% 22.26% 17.67% 18.33% 40.38% 22.87% 16.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.501 2.986 5.388 5.855 6.365 7.139 7.781 -
Change - -14.71% 80.4% 8.67% 8.72% 12.16% 8.99% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.2012 0.2212 0.2832 0.368 0.4232 0.476 0.5183 0.565
Change - 9.94% 28.03% 29.94% 15% 12.48% 8.89% 9%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 0.0982 - 4.231 5.262 6.778 8.918 10.9
Change - - - - 24.35% 28.82% 31.57% 22.27%
EPS 1 2.18 2.76 3.56 4.16 4.73 5.184 5.846 6.609
Change - 26.61% 28.99% 16.85% 13.7% 9.61% 12.76% 13.04%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 296,965 286,272 278,755 277,200 273,153 268,370 268,370 268,370
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/29/23 4/4/24 4/3/25 3/24/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 33.6x 29.8x
PBR 25.7x 19.5x
EV / Sales 6.32x 5.87x
Yield 0.27% 0.3%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
174.18CAD
Average target price
208.06CAD
Spread / Average Target
+19.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

LAST HOURS | 40% Discount: The Best Subscriber-Only Tools to Unlock Hidden Opportunities!
d
:
:
SEIZE THE OFFER!