Projected Income Statement: Disco Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Disco Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -125,771 -163,053 -215,486 -229,167 -284,575 -354,681 -452,950 -580,132
Change - -29.64% -32.16% -6.35% -24.18% -24.64% -27.71% -28.08%
Announcement Date 4/21/22 4/20/23 4/25/24 4/17/25 4/22/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Disco Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 43,576 14,972 16,140 66,861 35,143 32,760 34,062 30,236
Change - -65.64% 7.8% 314.26% -47.44% -6.78% 3.97% -11.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 40,063 68,706 81,121 53,503 -2,226 124,688 171,705 210,251
Change - 71.49% 18.07% -34.05% -104.16% 5,701.42% 37.71% 22.45%
Announcement Date 4/21/22 4/20/23 4/25/24 4/17/25 4/22/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Disco Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 39.43% 42.51% 43.09% 45.51% 45.73% 47.72% 48.8% 49.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 36.06% 38.86% 39.5% 42.41% 42.34% 45.34% 47.02% 48.31%
EBT Margin (%) 36.35% 39.69% 37.25% 42.74% 42.07% 44.56% 45.6% 46.74%
Net margin (%) 26.09% 29.17% 27.38% 31.5% 31.02% 33.51% 34.77% 35.69%
FCF margin (%) 15.79% 24.18% 26.38% 13.6% -0.51% 22.26% 25.92% 27.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) 60.51% 82.89% 96.34% 43.18% -1.64% 66.42% 74.54% 77.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 25.21% 25.73% 23.88% 20.48% 26.47% 24.8% 22.84% 22.51%
ROE 24.3% 25.9% 22.4% 28.49% 25.1% 28.37% 28.49% 28.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.17% 5.27% 5.25% 17% 8.04% 5.85% 5.14% 3.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 43.55% 12.4% 12.18% 37.35% 17.59% 12.25% 10.54% 8.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 108.77% 21.79% 19.9% 124.97% -1,578.75% 26.27% 19.84% 14.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 690.7 861.2 879.1 1,111 1,387 1,514 1,804 2,166
Change - 24.7% 2.08% 26.34% 24.83% 9.19% 19.16% 20.05%
Dividend per Share 1 269.3 305.3 307 413 505 686.4 846.7 1,075
Change - 13.37% 0.55% 34.53% 22.28% 35.92% 23.36% 26.95%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,703 3,202 3,740 4,407 5,408 6,463 7,770 9,050
Change - 18.47% 16.8% 17.84% 22.71% 19.51% 20.22% 16.47%
EPS 1 611.7 765.5 777.3 1,143 1,250 1,737 2,123 2,434
Change - 25.14% 1.54% 47.08% 9.32% 38.95% 22.28% 14.61%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 108,270 108,302 108,349 108,375 108,462 108,468 108,468 108,468
Announcement Date 4/21/22 4/20/23 4/25/24 4/17/25 4/22/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 29.9x 24.5x
PBR 8.04x 6.69x
EV / Sales 9.43x 7.83x
Yield 1.32% 1.63%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
51,980.00JPY
Average target price
83,130.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+59.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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