Projected Income Statement: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,050 16,577 17,097 17,498 18,198 17,323 16,736 15,315
Change - 17.99% 3.14% 2.35% 4% -4.81% -3.39% -8.49%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,791 2,133 2,281 2,529 2,902 2,318 2,390 2,465
Change - 19.1% 6.94% 10.87% 14.75% -20.11% 3.1% 3.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,308 3,486 3,268 2,718 1,711 3,348 3,576 3,889
Change - 5.38% -6.25% -16.83% -37.05% 95.68% 6.81% 8.74%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.01% 49.68% 48.93% 48.22% 45.17% 47.95% 49.34% 50.09%
EBIT Margin (%) 44.67% 39.58% 37.94% 36.82% 33.25% 37.02% 38.42% 39.34%
EBT Margin (%) 39.54% 36.45% 33.37% 31.33% 26.75% 31.99% 33.83% 34.95%
Net margin (%) 30.19% 28.05% 25.35% 23.87% 20.5% 24.39% 25.65% 26.42%
FCF margin (%) 26.42% 23.47% 22.3% 18.69% 12.14% 22.07% 22.49% 23.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 87.49% 83.68% 87.97% 78.33% 59.22% 90.5% 87.69% 89.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.41% 10.11% 8.81% 8.17% 6.68% 8.24% 8.64% 9.26%
ROE 28.42% 31.89% 30.01% 28.34% 22.51% 26.56% 28.8% 30.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 2.25x 2.38x 2.5x 2.86x 2.38x 2.13x 1.86x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.25x 4.76x 5.23x 6.44x 10.64x 5.17x 4.68x 3.94x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.3% 14.36% 15.56% 17.39% 20.59% 15.28% 15.03% 14.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.53% 28.91% 31.8% 36.07% 45.59% 31.87% 30.46% 29.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.14% 61.19% 69.8% 93.05% 169.61% 69.25% 66.84% 63.39%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.261 2.624 2.757 2.7 2.463 3.01 3.356 -
Change - 16.07% 5.03% -2.04% -8.8% 22.21% 11.48% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.372 0.4 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.5719 0.6194 0.6624
Change - 7.53% 10% 9.09% 8.33% 9.98% 8.31% 6.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.987 5.892 6.027 6.437 7.026 7.734 7.901 7.553
Change - -1.59% 2.29% 6.8% 9.15% 10.07% 2.17% -4.41%
EPS 1 1.68 1.95 1.85 1.79 1.54 2.004 2.269 2.499
Change - 16.07% -5.13% -3.24% -13.97% 30.11% 13.25% 10.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,217,983 2,101,822 1,976,132 1,928,423 1,862,018 1,852,311 1,852,311 1,852,311
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.9x 22x
PBR 6.44x 6.31x
EV / Sales 7.23x 6.86x
Yield 1.15% 1.24%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
49.83USD
Average target price
52.85USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise