Projected Income Statement: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,050 16,577 17,097 17,498 18,198 17,513 16,998 15,820
Change - 17.99% 3.14% 2.35% 4% -3.76% -2.94% -6.93%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,791 2,133 2,281 2,529 2,902 2,317 2,419 2,434
Change - 19.1% 6.94% 10.87% 14.75% -20.16% 4.42% 0.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,308 3,486 3,268 2,718 1,711 3,191 3,427 3,754
Change - 5.38% -6.25% -16.83% -37.05% 86.48% 7.4% 9.56%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.01% 49.68% 48.93% 48.22% 45.17% 47.57% 49.03% 49.84%
EBIT Margin (%) 44.67% 39.58% 37.94% 36.82% 33.25% 36.37% 37.92% 38.8%
EBT Margin (%) 39.54% 36.45% 33.37% 31.33% 26.75% 31.29% 33.38% 34.69%
Net margin (%) 30.19% 28.05% 25.35% 23.87% 20.5% 23.74% 25.3% 26.4%
FCF margin (%) 26.42% 23.47% 22.3% 18.69% 12.14% 21.31% 21.84% 23.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 87.49% 83.68% 87.97% 78.33% 59.22% 89.74% 86.33% 87.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.41% 10.11% 8.81% 8.17% 6.68% 7.93% 8.57% 8.9%
ROE 28.42% 31.89% 30.01% 28.34% 22.51% 26.71% 30.74% 27.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 2.25x 2.38x 2.5x 2.86x 2.46x 2.21x 1.96x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.25x 4.76x 5.23x 6.44x 10.64x 5.49x 4.96x 4.21x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.3% 14.36% 15.56% 17.39% 20.59% 15.47% 15.42% 15.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.53% 28.91% 31.8% 36.07% 45.59% 32.53% 31.45% 30.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.14% 61.19% 69.8% 93.05% 169.61% 72.61% 70.6% 64.84%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.261 2.624 2.757 2.7 2.463 2.951 3.321 -
Change - 16.07% 5.03% -2.04% -8.8% 19.81% 12.54% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.372 0.4 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.5656 0.6096 0.6496
Change - 7.53% 10% 9.09% 8.33% 8.77% 7.78% 6.56%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.987 5.892 6.027 6.437 7.026 6.943 6.733 8.167
Change - -1.59% 2.29% 6.8% 9.15% -1.18% -3.04% 21.3%
EPS 1 1.68 1.95 1.85 1.79 1.54 1.949 2.23 2.457
Change - 16.07% -5.13% -3.24% -13.97% 26.59% 14.37% 10.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,217,983 2,101,822 1,976,132 1,928,423 1,862,018 1,858,139 1,858,139 1,858,139
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.3x 22.2x
PBR 7.12x 7.34x
EV / Sales 7.3x 6.93x
Yield 1.14% 1.23%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
49.41USD
Average target price
48.76USD
Spread / Average Target
-1.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise