Projected Income Statement: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - CSX Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,050 16,577 17,097 17,498 18,198 17,139 16,666 15,700
Change - 17.99% 3.14% 2.35% 4% -5.82% -2.76% -5.8%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,791 2,133 2,281 2,529 2,902 2,347 2,413 2,476
Change - 19.1% 6.94% 10.87% 14.75% -19.14% 2.85% 2.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,308 3,486 3,268 2,718 1,711 3,406 3,855 4,091
Change - 5.38% -6.25% -16.83% -37.05% 99.08% 13.16% 6.13%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.01% 49.68% 48.93% 48.22% 45.17% 48.08% 49.45% 50.26%
EBIT Margin (%) 44.67% 39.58% 37.94% 36.82% 33.25% 37.32% 38.87% 39.76%
EBT Margin (%) 39.54% 36.45% 33.37% 31.33% 26.75% 32.51% 34.48% 35.49%
Net margin (%) 30.19% 28.05% 25.35% 23.87% 20.5% 24.7% 26.07% 26.77%
FCF margin (%) 26.42% 23.47% 22.3% 18.69% 12.14% 22.1% 23.69% 24.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 87.49% 83.68% 87.97% 78.33% 59.22% 89.48% 90.88% 90.7%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.41% 10.11% 8.81% 8.17% 6.68% 8.42% 8.8% 9.47%
ROE 28.42% 31.89% 30.01% 28.34% 22.51% 27.92% 29.32% 29.24%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 2.25x 2.38x 2.5x 2.86x 2.31x 2.07x 1.85x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.25x 4.76x 5.23x 6.44x 10.64x 5.03x 4.32x 3.84x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.3% 14.36% 15.56% 17.39% 20.59% 15.23% 14.83% 14.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.53% 28.91% 31.8% 36.07% 45.59% 31.67% 29.99% 29.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.14% 61.19% 69.8% 93.05% 169.61% 68.89% 62.61% 60.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.261 2.624 2.757 2.7 2.463 3.075 3.424 -
Change - 16.07% 5.03% -2.04% -8.8% 24.85% 11.36% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.372 0.4 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.5651 0.6134 0.666
Change - 7.53% 10% 9.09% 8.33% 8.67% 8.56% 8.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.987 5.892 6.027 6.437 7.026 7.449 7.301 8.273
Change - -1.59% 2.29% 6.8% 9.15% 6.01% -1.98% 13.31%
EPS 1 1.68 1.95 1.85 1.79 1.54 2.054 2.342 2.567
Change - 16.07% -5.13% -3.24% -13.97% 33.37% 14.01% 9.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,217,983 2,101,822 1,976,132 1,928,423 1,862,018 1,842,084 1,842,084 1,842,084
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.3x 22.2x
PBR 6.98x 7.12x
EV / Sales 7.33x 6.91x
Yield 1.09% 1.18%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - CSX Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - CSX Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - CSX Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - CSX Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
51.99USD
Average target price
53.81USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - CSX Corporation