Projected Income Statement: Carrefour SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carrefour SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,195 8,871 8,099 9,323 9,413 8,419 7,895 7,238
Change - 23.29% -8.7% 15.11% 0.97% -10.56% -6.22% -8.32%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carrefour SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,653 1,882 1,850 1,772 1,523 1,811 1,848 1,906
Change - 13.85% -1.7% -4.22% -14.05% 18.88% 2.07% 3.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,008 2,337 1,622 1,457 2,425 1,776 1,156 1,104
Change - 16.38% -30.59% -10.17% 66.44% -26.76% -34.91% -4.5%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carrefour SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.24% 5.67% 5.47% 5.43% 5.49% 5.52% 5.66% 5.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 2.92% 2.72% 2.59% 2.63% 2.83% 2.97% 3.05%
EBT Margin (%) 2.24% 2.42% 1.61% 1.28% 1.9% 1.92% 2.13% 2.22%
Net margin (%) 1.47% 1.66% 1.99% 0.85% 0.39% 1.25% 1.42% 1.42%
FCF margin (%) 2.75% 2.87% 1.95% 1.71% 2.95% 2.16% 1.38% 1.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 187.31% 173.37% 97.77% 201.52% 760.19% 173.81% 97.36% 90.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.25% 2.59% 2.94% 1.27% 0.57% 1.72% 1.84% 1.88%
ROE 11.38% 12.13% 11.5% 9.67% 10% 10.92% 11.39% 11.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.58x 1.92x 1.78x 2.01x 2.09x 1.86x 1.67x 1.46x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.58x 3.8x 4.99x 6.4x 3.88x 4.74x 6.83x 6.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.27% 2.31% 2.22% 2.07% 1.86% 2.21% 2.21% 2.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 40.8% 40.58% 38.21% 33.8% 39.99% 39.07% 38.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 82.32% 80.53% 114.06% 121.62% 62.8% 101.95% 159.86% 172.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.842 5.651 6.513 6.409 5.783 3.251 3.841 4.281
Change - 16.69% 15.25% -1.59% -9.77% -43.78% 18.15% 11.43%
Dividend per Share 1 0.52 0.56 0.87 0.92 0.97 1.05 1.071 1.107
Change - 7.69% 55.36% 5.75% 5.43% 8.21% 1.99% 3.4%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.21 15.02 16.69 16.76 15.54 15.85 16.57 17.44
Change - 13.65% 11.18% 0.36% -7.24% 1.95% 4.58% 5.27%
EPS 1 1.362 1.8 2.324 1.013 0.4671 1.414 1.682 1.755
Change - 32.15% 29.11% -56.43% -53.87% 202.76% 18.94% 4.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 766,438 769,845 699,183 663,135 706,234 707,563 707,563 707,563
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.8x 9.11x
PBR 0.97x 0.92x
EV / Sales 0.23x 0.22x
Yield 6.85% 6.99%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
15.32EUR
Average target price
16.89EUR
Spread / Average Target
+10.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise