Projected Income Statement: Burlington Stores, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Burlington Stores, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 464 597 483 856 850 908 619 326
Change - 28.66% -19.1% 77.23% -0.7% 6.85% -31.83% -47.33%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/2/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Burlington Stores, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 352.5 447.4 492.6 880.4 1,060 889.6 868.2 861.5
Change - 26.93% 10.11% 78.71% 20.38% -16.06% -2.4% -0.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 480.7 149 376.1 -17.01 171.6 362.1 569.3 393
Change - -69% 152.42% -104.52% 1,108.87% 111.03% 57.23% -30.97%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/2/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Burlington Stores, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.27% 8.05% 9.13% 10.28% 11.18% 11.75% 12.15% 12.9%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.6% 4.94% 5.97% 7.01% 7.67% 8.1% 8.42% 8.97%
EBT Margin (%) 5.85% 3.53% 4.79% 6.35% 7.06% 7.53% 8.03% 8.26%
Net margin (%) 4.39% 2.64% 3.49% 4.74% 5.27% 5.76% 6.14% 6.64%
FCF margin (%) 5.16% 1.71% 3.87% -0.16% 1.48% 2.82% 4.07% 2.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 117.57% 64.74% 110.73% -3.38% 28.12% 49% 66.4% 38.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.26% 3.21% 5.25% 6.11% 6.53% 7.13% 7.69% 13.22%
ROE 93.57% 29.59% 43.91% 42.55% 38.4% 36.07% 32.61% 43.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.44x 0.85x 0.54x 0.78x 0.66x 0.6x 0.36x 0.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.97x 4x 1.29x -50.31x 4.95x 2.51x 1.09x 0.83x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.78% 5.14% 5.06% 8.28% 9.16% 6.93% 6.21% 5.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.54% 63.85% 55.47% 80.55% 81.95% 59.01% 51.14% 43.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 73.32% 300.28% 130.99% -5,176.29% 617.63% 245.66% 152.5% 219.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.23 9.05 13.38 13.37 19.2 17.99 21.48 21.81
Change - -26% 47.87% -0.12% 43.67% -6.3% 19.39% 1.53%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 11.44 12.23 15.59 21.66 28.18 38.7 49.98 60.21
Change - 6.9% 27.48% 38.95% 30.14% 37.32% 29.14% 20.47%
EPS 1 6 3.49 5.23 7.8 9.51 11.48 13.4 16.2
Change - -41.83% 49.86% 49.14% 21.92% 20.76% 16.72% 20.84%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 66,765 65,191 64,525 63,481 62,927 62,815 62,815 62,815
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/2/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 22.6x 19.4x
PBR 6.71x 5.2x
EV / Sales 1.34x 1.21x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
259.76USD
Average target price
364.75USD
Spread / Average Target
+40.42%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Burlington Stores, Inc.