Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 54,974 50,815 38,826 21,422 20,912 30,518 29,971 29,440
Change - -7.57% -23.59% -44.83% -2.38% 45.94% -1.79% -1.77%
Announcement Date 2/4/20 2/2/21 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 15,418 12,306 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,646 15,032 15,079
Change - -20.18% -11.53% 50% -12.52% 9.53% -3.93% 0.31%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,352 -144 12,725 24,602 17,754 11,883 12,818 12,708
Change - -101.39% -8,936.81% 93.34% -27.84% -33.07% 7.87% -0.86%
Announcement Date 2/4/20 2/2/21 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.14% 6.68% 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 18.86% 20.12% 20.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.75% -1.58% 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.57% 11.38% 11.95%
EBT Margin (%) 2.93% -13.8% 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 5.77% 9.13% 10.13%
Net margin (%) 1.45% -11.26% 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 2.19% 5.44% 5.99%
FCF margin (%) 3.72% -0.08% 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.11% 7.02% 7%
FCF / Net Income (%) 257.13% 0.71% 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 278.42% 129.06% 116.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.46% -2.02% 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.71% 4.07% 4.17%
ROE 10.1% -6.71% 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.55% 14.15% 15.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.5x 4.22x 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.83x 0.82x 0.79x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.31x -352.88x 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 2.57x 2.34x 2.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.54% 6.82% 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.04% 8.23% 8.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.16% 102.2% 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 42.64% 40.91% 40.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 148.94% -8,545.83% 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 131.67% 117.27% 118.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.263 0.6014 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.499 1.597 1.637
Change - -52.39% 93.78% 84.98% -16.27% -16.96% 6.55% 2.51%
Dividend per Share 1 0.41 0.315 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3084 0.3273 0.3413
Change - -23.17% -31.33% 11.34% 18.01% 8.53% 6.12% 4.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.862 3.524 3.725 3.558 4.177 4.054 4.193 4.42
Change - -27.53% 5.71% -4.48% 17.41% -2.94% 3.44% 5.39%
EPS 1 0.1973 -1.004 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.2406 0.6164 0.704
Change - -608.97% -137.17% -135.09% -755.34% -71.98% 156.24% 14.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 20,126,809 20,169,694 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,673,286 15,673,286 15,673,286
Announcement Date 2/4/20 2/2/21 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 22.3x 8.72x
PBR 1.33x 1.28x
EV / Sales 0.59x 0.63x
Yield 5.74% 6.09%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
5.373USD
Average target price
5.987USD
Spread / Average Target
+11.43%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise