Projected Income Statement: AXIA Energia SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: AXIA Energia SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 30,302 33,075 41,366 37,671 46,484 46,987 51,963 56,701
Change - 9.15% 25.07% -8.93% 23.39% 1.08% 10.59% 9.12%
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/13/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 2/26/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AXIA Energia SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,573 1,586 3,863 3,099 2,066 9,168 10,014 10,639
Change - -38.38% 143.61% -19.76% -33.36% 343.86% 9.23% 6.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,657 7,690 4,380 9,286 12,444 15,385 18,341 24,217
Change - 35.94% -43.04% 112% 34.01% 23.63% 19.21% 32.04%
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/13/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 2/26/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AXIA Energia SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 50.53% 52.18% 51.87% 63.43% 47.64% 65.54% 68.98% 69.56%
EBIT Margin (%) 48.31% 44.29% 28.33% 53.51% 36.55% 48.71% 55.23% 54.95%
EBT Margin (%) 29.23% 9.82% 4.65% 26.43% -16.91% 26.1% 37.62% 37.96%
Net margin (%) 15.19% 10.68% 13.14% 25.83% 15.89% 23.29% 30.58% 32.03%
FCF margin (%) 15.04% 22.57% 11.79% 23.11% 30.14% 34.5% 35.48% 49.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) 99.01% 211.36% 89.73% 89.48% 189.74% 148.12% 116% 153.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.62% 4.56% 1.76% 3.16% 1.67% 4% 5.34% 5.02%
ROE 16.26% 11.21% 4.24% 8.5% 3.97% 9.22% 14.29% 12.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.59x 1.86x 2.15x 1.48x 2.36x 1.61x 1.46x 1.66x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.36x 4.3x 9.44x 4.06x 3.74x 3.05x 2.83x 2.34x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.84% 4.65% 10.4% 7.71% 5% 20.56% 19.37% 21.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.54% 8.92% 20.04% 12.16% 10.5% 31.37% 28.08% 31.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 45.49% 20.62% 88.19% 33.38% 16.6% 59.59% 54.6% 43.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - 5.37 5.531 5.252 7.105 -
Change - - - - 2.99% -5.05% 35.29% -
Dividend per Share 1 1.494 0.22 0.4038 0.863 - 3.02 5.528 5.325
Change - -85.27% 83.5% 113.71% - - 83.05% -3.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 48.52 48.02 53.15 52.84 - 38.99 38.66 42.15
Change - -1.03% 10.69% -0.59% - - -0.84% 9.01%
EPS 1 3.48 1.8 1.96 4.5 2.7 3.638 5.63 5.463
Change - -48.28% 8.89% 129.59% -40% 34.73% 54.76% -2.96%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,568,931 2,301,228 2,253,003 2,248,881 2,855,263 2,867,341 2,867,341 2,867,341
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/13/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 2/26/26 - - -
1BRL
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15x 9.69x
PBR 1.4x 1.41x
EV / Sales 4.56x 4.03x
Yield 5.54% 10.1%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
54.55BRL
Average target price
69.70BRL
Spread / Average Target
+27.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise