Projected Income Statement: Axfood AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Axfood AB

Forecast Balance Sheet - Axfood AB
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,640 8,982 9,339 14,861 14,598 14,775 14,128 13,983
Change - 17.57% 3.97% 59.13% -1.77% 1.21% -4.38% -1.03%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/1/23 2/1/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Axfood AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,842 2,593 1,946 1,539 1,730 2,136 1,803 2,350
Change - -32.51% -24.95% -20.91% 12.41% 23.49% -15.62% 30.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,765 3,334 3,861 3,920 5,021 3,805 4,905 4,585
Change - 20.58% 15.81% 1.53% 28.09% -24.22% 28.91% -6.53%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/1/23 2/1/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Axfood AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.81% 7.78% 7.82% 7.93% 8.58% 8.7% 8.87% 8.88%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.65% 4.39% 4.44% 4.08% 4.14% 4.17% 4.35% 4.41%
EBT Margin (%) 4.46% 3.99% 3.74% 3.43% 3.4% 3.51% 3.77% 3.86%
Net margin (%) 3.71% 3.21% 2.91% 2.61% 2.62% 2.76% 2.97% 3.03%
FCF margin (%) 4.78% 4.54% 4.76% 4.66% 5.63% 4.17% 5.17% 4.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.6% 141.27% 163.81% 178.83% 214.66% 150.98% 174.09% 154.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.11% 9.02% 8.04% 6.7% - - - -
ROE 46.32% 40.8% 35% 31.47% 32.13% 32.9% 34.78% 33.36%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.5x 1.57x 1.47x 2.23x 1.91x 1.86x 1.68x 1.6x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.76x 2.69x 2.42x 3.79x 2.91x 3.88x 2.88x 3.05x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.64% 3.53% 2.4% 1.83% 1.94% 2.34% 1.9% 2.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 75.29% 45.36% 30.67% 23.09% 22.62% 26.93% 21.45% 26.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 138.95% 77.77% 50.4% 39.26% 34.46% 56.15% 36.75% 51.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 21.87 27.69 26.78 25.18 31.14 21.79 25.29 26.09
Change - 26.62% -3.29% -5.99% 23.67% -30.03% 16.08% 3.15%
Dividend per Share 1 7.75 8.15 8.5 8.75 9 9.479 9.993 10.39
Change - 5.16% 4.29% 2.94% 2.86% 5.32% 5.43% 4%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.59 30.62 31.72 32.53 34.77 35.13 38.86 42.9
Change - 29.79% 3.56% 2.56% 6.9% 1.04% 10.61% 10.4%
EPS 1 10.24 10.99 10.87 10.11 10.79 11.51 12.87 13.59
Change - 7.32% -1.09% -6.99% 6.73% 6.65% 11.81% 5.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 209,105 215,805 215,778 215,745 215,922 215,884 215,884 215,884
Announcement Date 2/3/22 2/1/23 2/1/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.4x 20.9x
PBR 7.65x 6.92x
EV / Sales 0.8x 0.76x
Yield 3.52% 3.72%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Axfood AB


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Axfood AB
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Axfood AB
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Axfood AB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
268.90SEK
Average target price
257.86SEK
Spread / Average Target
-4.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Axfood AB