Projected Income Statement: Atria Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Atria Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 153 235 274 262 219 224 210 155
Change - 53.59% 16.6% -4.38% -16.41% 2.42% -6.25% -26.19%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/22/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Atria Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 55.8 126.4 109.5 38.7 54.1 89.6 85.9 63.15
Change - 126.52% -13.37% -64.66% 39.79% 65.62% -4.13% -26.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 32.3 -42.4 -16.3 53.7 65.9 25.7 45.2 74.25
Change - -231.27% 61.56% 429.45% 22.72% -61% 75.88% 64.27%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/22/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Atria Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.9% 6% 8.53% 7.25% 7.41% 7.41% 7.54% 7.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.19% 2.89% 2.83% 3.73% 3.85% 3.92% 3.97% 4.17%
EBT Margin (%) 0.31% 0.1% -0.64% 2.97% 2.96% 3.57% 3.64% 3.9%
Net margin (%) -0.45% -0.31% -1.13% 2.26% 2.24% 2.62% 2.73% 2.94%
FCF margin (%) 2.1% -2.5% -0.93% 3.06% 3.63% 1.35% 2.3% 3.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) -468.12% 797.89% 82.32% 135.26% 161.92% 51.55% 84.49% 126.38%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.73% -0.53% 2.89% - - - - -
ROE -1.57% 8.9% 7.3% 10.1% 11% 10.9% 10.75% 11.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.44x 2.31x 1.83x 2.06x 1.63x 1.59x 1.42x 1x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.72x -5.54x -16.82x 4.88x 3.32x 8.72x 4.65x 2.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.62% 7.45% 6.25% 2.2% 2.98% 4.71% 4.38% 3.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 52.49% 124.17% 73.24% 30.4% 40.25% 63.55% 58.08% 40.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 172.76% -298.11% -671.78% 72.07% 82.09% 348.64% 190.04% 85.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 3.293 3.265 4.24 4.02 4.83 -
Change - - - -0.86% 29.87% -5.19% 20.15% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.63 0.7 0.6 0.69 0.75 0.82 0.88 0.935
Change - 11.11% -14.29% 15% 8.7% 9.33% 7.32% 6.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.08 15.9 13.82 14.28 15.32 16.3 17.37 18.62
Change - -1.12% -13.08% 3.33% 7.28% 6.37% 6.6% 7.2%
EPS 1 -0.24 -0.19 -0.7 1.41 1.44 1.765 1.89 2.08
Change - 20.83% -268.42% 301.43% 2.13% 22.57% 7.08% 10.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,176 28,202 28,157 28,180 28,204 28,234 28,234 28,234
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/22/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.9x 8.31x
PBR 0.96x 0.9x
EV / Sales 0.35x 0.33x
Yield 5.22% 5.61%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
15.70EUR
Average target price
19.88EUR
Spread / Average Target
+26.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise