Projected Income Statement: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -315,986 -376,840 -335,687 643,054 284,347 -59,179 -480,654 -855,942
Change - -19.26% 10.92% 291.56% -55.78% -120.81% -712.2% -78.08%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 30,739 36,441 38,056 37,003 57,723 63,333 60,000 63,333
Change - 18.55% 4.43% -2.77% 56% 9.72% -5.26% 5.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 226,705 291,326 -673,327 157,509 493,466 462,725 544,244 507,952
Change - 28.5% -331.12% 123.39% 213.29% -6.23% 17.62% -6.67%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.16% 15.72% 11.43% 12.56% 26.98% 31.82% 31.5% 30.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.01% 8.76% 1.59% 2.15% 17.89% 21.24% 21.43% 18.53%
EBT Margin (%) 12.1% 8.72% 1.56% 1.63% 17.6% 20.28% 20.72% 17.54%
Net margin (%) 9.57% 6.5% 1.06% 2.65% 13.63% 15.63% 15.78% 13.48%
FCF margin (%) 17.49% 19.18% -41.99% 8.24% 23.07% 19.72% 24.86% 26.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 182.7% 295.12% -3,950.29% 310.38% 169.26% 126.15% 157.49% 193.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.81% 5.53% 3.28% 0.9% 8.44% 13.12% 11.67% 9.18%
ROE 8.7% 6.7% 1.1% 3.3% 17.45% 21.83% 17.76% 13.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 2.68x 0.49x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - 4.08x 0.58x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.37% 2.4% 2.37% 1.93% 2.7% 2.7% 2.74% 3.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.06% 15.26% 20.76% 15.41% 10% 8.48% 8.7% 10.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.56% 12.51% -5.65% 23.49% 11.7% 13.69% 11.02% 12.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 110.2 112.3 97.52 139.6 311.7 327 317.7 300.1
Change - 1.98% -13.19% 43.13% 123.32% 4.9% -2.82% -5.55%
Dividend per Share 1 50 60 70 74 78 80.15 83.08 85.31
Change - 20% 16.67% 5.71% 5.41% 2.76% 3.65% 2.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 799.3 839.3 890.1 845.2 1,021 1,167 1,281 1,353
Change - 5% 6.05% -5.04% 20.79% 14.34% 9.76% 5.6%
EPS 1 67.08 54.24 9.51 28.35 162.8 213.4 202.8 156.1
Change - -19.14% -82.47% 198.11% 474.14% 31.09% -4.96% -23.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,841,831 1,795,756 1,792,986 1,790,107 1,791,411 1,793,014 1,793,014 1,793,014
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 10.5x 11.1x
PBR 1.92x 1.75x
EV / Sales 1.69x 1.62x
Yield 3.57% 3.7%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
2,245.00JPY
Average target price
2,529.29JPY
Spread / Average Target
+12.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  5. Financials Astellas Pharma Inc.