Projected Income Statement: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -315,986 -376,840 -335,687 643,054 284,347 -76,782 -391,241 -666,766
Change - -19.26% 10.92% 291.56% -55.78% -127% -409.55% -70.42%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 30,739 36,441 38,056 37,003 57,723 55,000 53,840 54,240
Change - 18.55% 4.43% -2.77% 56% -4.72% -2.11% 0.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 226,705 291,326 -673,327 157,509 493,466 421,316 506,013 448,546
Change - 28.5% -331.12% 123.39% 213.29% -14.62% 20.1% -11.36%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.16% 15.72% 11.43% 12.56% 26.98% 28.64% 29.96% 27.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.01% 8.76% 1.59% 2.15% 17.89% 20.31% 20.92% 17.86%
EBT Margin (%) 12.1% 8.72% 1.56% 1.63% 17.6% 19.13% 19.78% 15.85%
Net margin (%) 9.57% 6.5% 1.06% 2.65% 13.63% 15.31% 15.68% 13.42%
FCF margin (%) 17.49% 19.18% -41.99% 8.24% 23.07% 18.72% 24.43% 24.43%
FCF / Net Income (%) 182.7% 295.12% -3,950.29% 310.38% 169.26% 122.26% 155.82% 182.01%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.81% 5.53% 3.28% 0.9% 8.44% 12.03% 10.22% 7.83%
ROE 8.7% 6.7% 1.1% 3.3% 17.45% 19.59% 16.79% 12.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 2.68x 0.49x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - 4.08x 0.58x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.37% 2.4% 2.37% 1.93% 2.7% 2.44% 2.6% 2.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.06% 15.26% 20.76% 15.41% 10% 8.54% 8.67% 10.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.56% 12.51% -5.65% 23.49% 11.7% 13.05% 10.64% 12.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 110.2 112.3 97.52 139.6 311.7 323.9 301.4 250.5
Change - 1.98% -13.19% 43.13% 123.32% 3.89% -6.93% -16.88%
Dividend per Share 1 50 60 70 74 78 80.46 82.77 84.92
Change - 20% 16.67% 5.71% 5.41% 3.16% 2.87% 2.59%
Book Value Per Share 1 799.3 839.3 890.1 845.2 1,021 1,113 1,188 1,234
Change - 5% 6.05% -5.04% 20.79% 9.04% 6.75% 3.83%
EPS 1 67.08 54.24 9.51 28.35 162.8 192.6 181.7 138.1
Change - -19.14% -82.47% 198.11% 474.14% 18.32% -5.63% -24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,841,831 1,795,756 1,792,986 1,790,107 1,791,411 1,791,492 1,791,492 1,791,492
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 11.1x 11.8x
PBR 1.92x 1.8x
EV / Sales 1.67x 1.66x
Yield 3.76% 3.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
2,142.00JPY
Average target price
2,384.62JPY
Spread / Average Target
+11.33%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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