Projected Income Statement: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Astellas Pharma Inc.
Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -315,986 -376,840 -335,687 643,054 284,347 -59,179 -480,654 -855,942
Change - -19.26% 10.92% 291.56% -55.78% -120.81% -712.2% -78.08%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 30,739 36,441 38,056 37,003 57,723 63,333 60,000 63,333
Change - 18.55% 4.43% -2.77% 56% 9.72% -5.26% 5.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 226,705 291,326 -673,327 157,509 493,466 462,725 544,244 507,952
Change - 28.5% -331.12% 123.39% 213.29% -6.23% 17.62% -6.67%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Astellas Pharma Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.16% 15.72% 11.43% 12.56% 26.98% 31.82% 31.5% 30.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.01% 8.76% 1.59% 2.15% 17.89% 21.24% 21.43% 18.53%
EBT Margin (%) 12.1% 8.72% 1.56% 1.63% 17.6% 20.28% 20.72% 17.54%
Net margin (%) 9.57% 6.5% 1.06% 2.65% 13.63% 15.63% 15.78% 13.48%
FCF margin (%) 17.49% 19.18% -41.99% 8.24% 23.07% 19.72% 24.86% 26.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 182.7% 295.12% -3,950.29% 310.38% 169.26% 126.15% 157.49% 193.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.81% 5.53% 3.28% 0.9% 8.44% 13.12% 11.67% 9.18%
ROE 8.7% 6.7% 1.1% 3.3% 17.45% 21.83% 17.76% 13.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 2.68x 0.49x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - 4.08x 0.58x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.37% 2.4% 2.37% 1.93% 2.7% 2.7% 2.74% 3.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.06% 15.26% 20.76% 15.41% 10% 8.48% 8.7% 10.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.56% 12.51% -5.65% 23.49% 11.7% 13.69% 11.02% 12.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 110.2 112.3 97.52 139.6 311.7 327 317.7 300.1
Change - 1.98% -13.19% 43.13% 123.32% 4.9% -2.82% -5.55%
Dividend per Share 1 50 60 70 74 78 80.15 83.08 85.31
Change - 20% 16.67% 5.71% 5.41% 2.76% 3.65% 2.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 799.3 839.3 890.1 845.2 1,021 1,167 1,281 1,353
Change - 5% 6.05% -5.04% 20.79% 14.34% 9.76% 5.6%
EPS 1 67.08 54.24 9.51 28.35 162.8 213.4 202.8 156.1
Change - -19.14% -82.47% 198.11% 474.14% 31.09% -4.96% -23.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,841,831 1,795,756 1,792,986 1,790,107 1,791,411 1,793,014 1,793,014 1,793,014
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/27/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 10.5x 11.1x
PBR 1.93x 1.75x
EV / Sales 1.69x 1.62x
Yield 3.57% 3.7%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Astellas Pharma Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Astellas Pharma Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Astellas Pharma Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Ratings Surperformance© - Astellas Pharma Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
2,248.00JPY
Average target price
2,529.29JPY
Spread / Average Target
+12.51%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Astellas Pharma Inc.
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