Projected Income Statement: Assa Abloy AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 27,071 31,732 64,109 70,253 64,277 56,540 48,732 39,381
Change - 17.22% 102.03% 9.58% -8.51% -12.04% -13.81% -19.19%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,629 1,990 2,419 2,063 2,598 2,727 2,992 3,096
Change - 22.16% 21.56% -14.72% 25.93% 4.95% 9.73% 3.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,827 12,367 18,875 19,328 18,814 19,147 20,555 22,820
Change - 14.22% 52.62% 2.4% -2.66% 1.77% 7.35% 11.02%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Assa Abloy AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.97% 18.73% 19.44% 19.94% 20.17% 20.42% 20.51% 20.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.93% 15.34% 15.77% 16.18% 16.18% 16.66% 17.03% 17.31%
EBT Margin (%) 14.25% 14.5% 13.68% 13.91% 13.01% 14.78% 15.47% 16.02%
Net margin (%) 11.47% 11% 9.69% 10.41% 9.65% 11.04% 11.53% 11.92%
FCF margin (%) 11.4% 10.24% 13.41% 12.87% 12.34% 12.13% 12.13% 12.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 99.32% 93.05% 138.45% 123.59% 127.98% 109.84% 105.25% 106.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.81% 9.34% 7.77% 7.45% 6.81% 8.16% 8.68% 9.19%
ROE 16.97% 17.08% 15.35% 16.2% 14.09% 16.29% 16.37% 16.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.5x 1.4x 2.34x 2.35x 2.09x 1.75x 1.4x 1.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.5x 2.57x 3.4x 3.63x 3.42x 2.95x 2.37x 1.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.71% 1.65% 1.72% 1.37% 1.7% 1.73% 1.77% 1.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.04% 8.8% 8.84% 6.89% 8.45% 8.46% 8.61% 8.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 15.05% 16.09% 12.82% 10.67% 13.81% 14.24% 14.56% 13.57%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.21 12.93 19.17 19.26 19.27 19.01 20.79 22.5
Change - 15.31% 48.22% 0.49% 0.06% -1.35% 9.39% 8.21%
Dividend per Share 1 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.867 7.611 8.328
Change - 14.29% 12.5% 9.26% 8.47% 7.3% 10.83% 9.43%
Book Value Per Share 1 62.64 77.44 82.49 96.39 91.47 102.7 113.4 125.6
Change - 23.63% 6.52% 16.85% -5.1% 12.33% 10.34% 10.78%
EPS 1 9.81 11.97 12.27 14.08 13.23 15.67 17.56 19.18
Change - 22.02% 2.51% 14.75% -6.04% 18.43% 12.06% 9.23%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776 1,110,776
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/7/24 2/5/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.8x 20.3x
PBR 3.48x 3.15x
EV / Sales 2.87x 2.63x
Yield 1.92% 2.13%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
357.20SEK
Average target price
407.90SEK
Spread / Average Target
+14.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise