Projected Income Statement: ASOS Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -200 153 320 297 185 133 100 55.9
Change - 176.5% 109.15% -7.19% -37.71% -27.99% -24.81% -44.1%
Announcement Date 10/11/21 10/19/22 11/1/23 11/5/24 11/21/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 157.1 182.9 177.9 133.5 85.9 92.79 95.28 96.56
Change - 16.42% -2.73% -24.96% -35.66% 8.03% 2.68% 1.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 58 -303.3 -161.5 94.5 14.1 3.128 33.26 43.35
Change - -622.93% 46.75% 158.51% -85.08% -77.81% 963.08% 30.36%
Announcement Date 10/11/21 10/19/22 11/1/23 11/5/24 11/21/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.33% 3.56% 3.51% 2.76% 5.31% 7.03% 7.6% 7.96%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 1.12% -0.82% -2.8% -1.3% -0.33% 0.66% 1.28%
EBT Margin (%) 4.53% -0.81% -8.36% -13.05% -11.36% -4% -2.78% -1.95%
Net margin (%) 3.28% -0.78% -6.29% -11.66% -12.04% 0.37% -2.11% -1.92%
FCF margin (%) 1.48% -7.7% -4.55% 3.25% 0.57% 0.14% 1.47% 1.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.17% 984.74% 72.39% -27.9% -4.73% 37.69% -69.43% -96.99%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.76% 0.72% -1.88% -5.04% -4.86% -5.87% -1.69% -0.97%
ROE 15.22% 2.07% -5.62% -17.78% -26.14% -30.21% -6.1% 1.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.09x 2.57x 3.71x 1.4x 0.84x 0.58x 0.3x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.5x -1.98x 3.14x 13.1x 42.36x 3.01x 1.29x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.02% 4.65% 5.01% 4.59% 3.47% 4.13% 4.2% 4.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.25% 130.64% 142.89% 166.67% 65.27% 58.65% 55.3% 52.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 270.86% -60.3% -110.15% 141.27% 609.22% 2,966.19% 286.51% 222.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.025 -1.208 0.1566 1.915 1.334 0.8206 1.035 1.178
Change - -159.63% 112.97% 1,122.61% -30.34% -38.47% 26.1% 13.86%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.38 10.18 8.276 4.375 1.78 2.048 2.125 2.333
Change - -1.95% -18.71% -47.14% -59.3% 15% 3.8% 9.76%
EPS 1 1.255 -0.309 -2.13 -2.844 -2.501 -0.567 -0.4026 -0.2891
Change - -124.62% -589.32% -33.52% 12.06% 77.33% 29% 28.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 99,592 99,704 119,008 119,106 119,347 119,720 119,720 119,720
Announcement Date 10/11/21 10/19/22 11/1/23 11/5/24 11/21/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -5.63x -7.92x
PBR 1.56x 1.5x
EV / Sales 0.24x 0.22x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
3.190GBP
Average target price
3.471GBP
Spread / Average Target
+8.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise