Projected Income Statement: Arkema

Forecast Balance Sheet: Arkema

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 477 1,666 2,230 2,541 2,370 2,410 2,292 2,081
Change - 249.27% 33.85% 13.95% -6.73% 1.69% -4.9% -9.21%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Arkema

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 763 707 634 761 636 581.2 614.2 620.3
Change - -7.34% -10.33% 20.03% -16.43% -8.62% 5.68% 1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 152 789 638 360 390 311.6 379.3 440.2
Change - 419.08% -19.14% -43.57% 8.33% -20.09% 21.7% 16.08%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Arkema

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.14% 18.27% 15.78% 16.05% 13.8% 13.8% 14.32% 14.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.44% 13.51% 9.87% 9.38% 6.22% 6.22% 6.75% 7.41%
EBT Margin (%) 17.61% 10.56% 6.33% 5.31% 1.79% 2.98% 4.23% 4.55%
Net margin (%) 13.75% 8.35% 4.39% 3.71% 0.69% 2.2% 3.24% 3.78%
FCF margin (%) 1.6% 6.83% 6.71% 3.77% 4.3% 3.41% 4.07% 4.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 11.61% 81.76% 152.63% 101.69% 619.05% 155.5% 125.6% 122.07%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.38% 7.48% 4.66% 4.14% 2.23% 1.4% 1.35% 1.87%
ROE 22.78% 14.19% 9% 8.36% 4.57% 4.88% 6.48% 7.11%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.28x 0.79x 1.49x 1.66x 1.89x 1.91x 1.72x 1.48x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.14x 2.11x 3.5x 7.06x 6.08x 7.73x 6.04x 4.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.02% 6.12% 6.66% 7.97% 7.01% 6.37% 6.59% 6.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 44.18% 33.51% 42.24% 49.67% 50.84% 46.14% 46.04% 44.01%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 501.97% 89.61% 99.37% 211.39% 163.08% 186.49% 161.94% 140.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.06 19.77 16.95 14.91 13.12 11.58 12.74 13.45
Change - 63.87% -14.24% -12.06% -11.95% -11.78% 10.03% 5.54%
Dividend per Share 1 3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.681 3.787
Change - 13.33% 2.94% 2.86% 0% 0% 2.24% 2.88%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.23 96.45 95.69 100.1 90.08 87.15 89.17 90.76
Change - 13.17% -0.79% 4.58% -9.99% -3.26% 2.32% 1.79%
EPS 1 17.04 12.75 5.36 4.49 0.51 3.061 3.588 4.192
Change - -25.18% -57.96% -16.23% -88.64% 500.22% 17.21% 16.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 73,953 74,506 74,456 75,528 75,375 75,610 75,610 75,610
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.2x 15.5x
PBR 0.64x 0.63x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.7x
Yield 6.46% 6.6%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
55.75EUR
Average target price
62.93EUR
Spread / Average Target
+12.88%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise