Projected Income Statement: Arkema

Forecast Balance Sheet: Arkema

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 477 1,666 2,230 2,541 2,370 2,336 2,300 2,155
Change - 249.27% 33.85% 13.95% -6.73% -1.43% -1.54% -6.3%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Arkema

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 763 707 634 761 636 589.9 624.5 643.8
Change - -7.34% -10.33% 20.03% -16.43% -7.25% 5.86% 3.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 152 789 638 360 390 308.2 379.1 438.5
Change - 419.08% -19.14% -43.57% 8.33% -20.96% 22.98% 15.68%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Arkema

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.14% 18.27% 15.78% 16.05% 13.8% 13.74% 14.3% 14.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.44% 13.51% 9.87% 9.38% 6.22% 6.18% 6.71% 7.37%
EBT Margin (%) 17.61% 10.56% 6.33% 5.31% 1.79% 3.22% 4.51% 4.87%
Net margin (%) 13.75% 8.35% 4.39% 3.71% 0.69% 2.21% 3.47% 4.19%
FCF margin (%) 1.6% 6.83% 6.71% 3.77% 4.3% 3.37% 4.07% 4.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 11.61% 81.76% 152.63% 101.69% 619.05% 152.2% 117.15% 109.78%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.38% 7.48% 4.66% 4.14% 2.23% 1.43% 1.58% 2.14%
ROE 22.78% 14.19% 9% 8.36% 4.57% 4.52% 6.1% 6.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.28x 0.79x 1.49x 1.66x 1.89x 1.86x 1.73x 1.52x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.14x 2.11x 3.5x 7.06x 6.08x 7.58x 6.07x 4.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.02% 6.12% 6.66% 7.97% 7.01% 6.45% 6.7% 6.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 44.18% 33.51% 42.24% 49.67% 50.84% 46.91% 46.9% 45.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 501.97% 89.61% 99.37% 211.39% 163.08% 191.38% 164.74% 146.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.06 19.77 16.95 14.91 13.12 12 12.92 13.74
Change - 63.87% -14.24% -12.06% -11.95% -8.6% 7.69% 6.34%
Dividend per Share 1 3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.744 3.874
Change - 13.33% 2.94% 2.86% 0% 0% 3.99% 3.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.23 96.45 95.69 100.1 90.08 87.17 89.33 91.16
Change - 13.17% -0.79% 4.58% -9.99% -3.23% 2.48% 2.05%
EPS 1 17.04 12.75 5.36 4.49 0.51 3.089 4.1 4.842
Change - -25.18% -57.96% -16.23% -88.64% 505.68% 32.74% 18.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 73,953 74,506 74,456 75,528 75,375 75,610 75,610 75,610
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.4x 14.6x
PBR 0.69x 0.67x
EV / Sales 0.75x 0.73x
Yield 6% 6.24%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
60.00EUR
Average target price
62.47EUR
Spread / Average Target
+4.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise