Projected Income Statement: Argan

Forecast Balance Sheet: Argan

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,696 1,877 1,957 1,700 1,693 1,837 1,833 1,795
Change - 10.67% 4.26% -13.13% -0.41% 8.5% -0.22% -2.07%
Announcement Date 1/19/22 1/19/23 1/18/24 1/16/25 1/22/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Argan

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 - - 172.5 111.4 186 172 23
Change - - - -35.4% - -7.53% -86.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 103.2 -110.4 25.09 138.9 74 208 212
Change - -206.91% 122.73% 453.56% - 181.08% 1.92%
Announcement Date 1/19/22 1/19/23 1/18/24 1/16/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Argan

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 79.26% 76.05% 77.98% 77.7% 94.29% 94.69% 94.94% 94.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 79.2% 59.02% -91.16% 126.44% 137.22% 95.57% 103.09% 94.5%
EBT Margin (%) - - -111.83% 106.44% 116.7% 79.57% 70.69% 73.53%
Net margin (%) 359.91% 48.05% -119.39% 102.8% 115.66% 75.53% 75.29% 75.9%
FCF margin (%) 55.62% -55.77% 11.37% 58.12% - 33.55% 90.25% 89.66%
FCF / Net Income (%) 15.45% -116.06% -9.52% 56.53% - 44.42% 119.87% 118.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 16.93% 2.13% 2.95% 3.28% 3.59% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
ROE 6.22% 4.38% 6.12% 6.65% 6.68% 6.33% 6.11% 5.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.53x 12.47x 11.37x 9.15x 8.47x 8.8x 8.38x 8.02x
Debt / Free cash flow 16.43x -17.01x 77.99x 12.24x - 24.83x 8.81x 8.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 78.14% 46.61% - 84.34% 74.63% 9.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 100.2% 59.99% - 89.07% 78.61% 10.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 687.25% 80.2% - 251.35% 82.69% 10.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 8.089 - 7.763 7.804 7.926 7.981
Change - - - - - 0.52% 1.57% 0.69%
Dividend per Share 1 2.6 3 3.15 3.3 3.45 3.585 3.665 3.772
Change - 15.38% 5% 4.76% 4.55% 3.91% 2.23% 2.91%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 81.8 87.6 93.6 91.03 95.11 98.82
Change - - - 7.09% 6.85% -2.75% 4.48% 3.89%
EPS 1 29.7 4.2 -11.4 10 9.6 6.625 6.478 6.791
Change - -85.86% -371.43% 187.72% -4% -30.99% -2.22% 4.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 22,587 22,940 23,059 25,392 25,721 25,753 25,753 25,753
Announcement Date 1/19/22 1/19/23 1/18/24 1/16/25 1/22/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.13x 9.34x
PBR 0.66x 0.64x
EV / Sales 15.4x 14.7x
Yield 5.93% 6.06%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
60.50EUR
Average target price
76.14EUR
Spread / Average Target
+25.86%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise