Projected Income Statement: Aramex

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aramex

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 541 1,436 1,500 1,361 1,375 1,359 1,278 960
Change - 165.43% 4.46% -9.27% 1.03% -1.18% -5.96% -24.88%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aramex

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 128.6 79.14 128 124.3 145.3 255 197.5 149
Change - -38.46% 61.75% -2.88% 16.86% 75.52% -22.55% -24.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 188.8 487.3 380.1 490.6 401.8 -43.2 207.8 384
Change - 158.18% -22% 29.07% -18.11% -110.75% 580.9% 84.84%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aramex

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.15% 10.39% 11.06% 10.28% 9.65% 9.09% 9.02% 10.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.05% 4.14% 4.68% 4.69% 3.74% 3.29% 3.92% 4.6%
EBT Margin (%) 4.32% 3.15% 2.68% 2.89% 0.88% 1.65% - -
Net margin (%) 3.71% 2.79% 2.27% 2.24% 0.32% 0.35% 0.14% 0.68%
FCF margin (%) 3.11% 8.22% 6.68% 7.76% 6.32% -0.68% 3.14% 5.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 83.75% 294.66% 293.98% 345.96% 1,952.02% -192.86% 2,170.85% 817.02%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.92% 2.88% 2.17% 2.45% 0.35% - - -
ROE 8.42% 6.39% 5.2% 5.7% 0.81% 0.87% 0.37% 1.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.8x 2.33x 2.38x 2.09x 2.24x 2.35x 2.14x 1.36x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 2.95x 3.95x 2.77x 3.42x -31.47x 6.15x 2.5x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.12% 1.34% 2.25% 1.97% 2.28% 4% 2.98% 2.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.01% 12.85% 20.33% 19.12% 23.66% 44.02% 33.1% 21.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 68.13% 16.24% 33.68% 25.34% 36.16% -590.28% 95.07% 38.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.13 0.13 - - - - - -
Change - 0% - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.82 1.714 1.681 1.719 1.747 1.795 - -
Change - -5.84% -1.91% 2.23% 1.62% 2.77% - -
EPS 1 0.15 0.113 0.088 0.097 0.014 0.046 0.05 0.12
Change - -24.67% -22.12% 10.23% -85.57% 228.57% 8.7% 140%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1AED
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 38.7x 35.6x
PBR 0.99x -
EV / Sales 0.62x 0.59x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
1.780AED
Average target price
1.890AED
Spread / Average Target
+6.18%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise