Projected Income Statement: Air Canada

Forecast Balance Sheet: Air Canada

Forecast Balance Sheet - Air Canada
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,721 7,495 5,311 4,918 5,411 5,387 5,705 5,437
Change - -2.93% -29.14% -7.4% 10.02% -0.44% 5.9% -4.7%
Announcement Date 2/18/22 2/17/23 2/16/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,073 1,572 1,564 2,636 2,910 3,038 3,647 3,149
Change - 46.51% -0.51% 68.54% 10.39% 4.39% 20.07% -13.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,636 796 2,756 1,294 747 509.4 260 1,243
Change - 130.2% 246.23% -53.05% -42.27% -31.81% -48.97% 378.17%
Announcement Date 2/18/22 2/17/23 2/16/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -22.88% 8.8% 18.24% 16.11% 13.96% 12.01% 13.95% 15.7%
EBIT Margin (%) -47.64% -1.13% 10.44% 5.68% 4.1% 2.54% 4.49% 6.26%
EBT Margin (%) -62.2% -9.21% 10.13% 2.31% 3.53% 0.87% 2.65% 4.69%
Net margin (%) -56.28% -10.27% 10.42% 7.73% 2.88% 0.79% 1.93% 3.49%
FCF margin (%) -41.19% 4.81% 12.62% 5.81% 3.34% 2.02% 0.98% 4.41%
FCF / Net Income (%) 73.18% -46.82% 121.09% 75.23% 115.99% 254.91% 50.7% 126.53%

Profitability

        
ROA -12.1% -5.66% 7.62% 4.35% 1.51% 0.81% 1.1% 1.71%
ROE -417.87% - - 83.86% 18.92% 12.75% 13.98% 20.65%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -5.27x 5.14x 1.33x 1.37x 1.73x 1.78x 1.54x 1.23x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.93x 9.42x 1.93x 3.8x 7.24x 10.57x 21.94x 4.37x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.77% 9.5% 7.16% 11.84% 13.01% 12.04% 13.76% 11.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -73.29% 107.89% 39.28% 73.51% 93.15% 100.25% 98.63% 71.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -40.71% 197.49% 56.75% 203.71% 389.56% 596.32% 1,403.04% 253.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -4.453 6.615 11.49 10.45 11.43 11.56 13.78 15.1
Change - 248.54% 73.7% -9.03% 9.34% 1.14% 19.23% 9.6%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 0.0252 -4.339 2.221 7.027 8.796 15.81 18.17 21.93
Change - -17,353.28% 151.18% 216.44% 25.18% 79.76% 14.89% 20.69%
EPS 1 -10.25 -4.75 5.96 4.574 1.86 0.7067 2.113 3.855
Change - 53.66% 225.47% -23.25% -59.34% -62.01% 199.05% 82.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 357,835 359,098 358,469 349,475 295,653 280,059 280,059 280,059
Announcement Date 2/18/22 2/17/23 2/16/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 36.5x 12.2x
PBR 1.63x 1.42x
EV / Sales 0.5x 0.49x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Air Canada


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Air Canada
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Air Canada
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Ratings Surperformance© - Air Canada
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
25.78CAD
Average target price
35.34CAD
Spread / Average Target
+37.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Air Canada