Projected Income Statement: Afry AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,565 - 6,842 6,135 5,321 4,971 4,381 3,791
Change - - - -10.33% -13.27% -6.58% -11.87% -13.47%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 52 147 107 88 144.7 178.3 174.7
Change - - -27.21% -17.76% 64.39% 23.27% -2.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,446 1,647 1,887 2,132 1,382 1,726 1,880
Change - - 14.57% 12.98% -35.17% 24.88% 8.89%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Afry AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.73% 10.32% 10.07% 10.46% 8.61% 10.04% 11.01% 11.15%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.58% 6.13% 6.59% 7.15% 5.38% 6.73% 7.94% 8.22%
EBT Margin (%) 6.93% 5.18% 5.34% 6.02% 4.12% 5.78% 7.08% 7.46%
Net margin (%) 5.62% 4.14% 4.08% 4.53% 3.11% 4.37% 5.46% 5.76%
FCF margin (%) 7.19% - 6.1% 6.95% 8.28% 5.44% 6.48% 6.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.08% - 149.73% 153.54% 266.5% 124.52% 118.64% 117.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.57% - 3.92% 3.7% - - - -
ROE 10.8% - 8.8% 9.6% 6.2% 8.94% 10.95% 11.49%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.51x - 2.52x 2.16x 2.4x 1.95x 1.49x 1.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.47x - 4.15x 3.25x 2.5x 3.6x 2.54x 2.02x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.26% - 0.54% 0.39% 0.34% 0.57% 0.67% 0.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 2.2% - 5.41% 3.76% 3.97% 5.68% 6.08% 5.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 3.6% - 8.93% 5.67% 4.13% 10.47% 10.33% 9.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.26 - 15.84 17.61 19.6 18.6 16.8 17.6
Change - - - 11.15% 11.33% -5.11% -9.68% 4.76%
Dividend per Share 1 5.5 - 5.5 6 6 6.812 7.912 8.698
Change - - - 9.09% 0% 13.53% 16.15% 9.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 97.09 - 110 115.9 111.9 116.8 123.1 130.2
Change - - - 5.41% -3.44% 4.34% 5.42% 5.77%
EPS 1 9.973 8.603 9.71 10.85 7.07 9.808 12.84 14.19
Change - -13.74% 12.87% 11.74% -34.84% 38.72% 30.95% 10.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 113,212 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252 113,252
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/2/24 2/7/25 2/5/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11x 8.39x
PBR 0.92x 0.88x
EV / Sales 0.68x 0.62x
Yield 6.32% 7.34%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
107.80SEK
Average target price
143.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+32.65%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise