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Real-time
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 9.640 EUR | -1.08% |
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+4.56% | -28.50% |
| 12:50am | Jefferies cuts Afry price target to 190 kronor (200), reiterates buy | FW |
| 07-24 | SEB Funds reduces its stake in Afry | FW |
Projected Income Statement: Afry AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 20,104 | 23,552 | 26,978 | 27,160 | 25,758 | 25,190 | 26,479 | 27,540 |
| Change | - | 17.15% | 14.55% | 0.67% | -5.16% | -2.2% | 5.12% | 4.01% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,359 | 2,430 | 2,718 | 2,842 | 2,219 | 2,510 | 2,900 | 3,020 |
| Change | - | 3.01% | 11.85% | 4.56% | -21.92% | 13.12% | 15.53% | 4.16% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,523 | 1,444 | 1,779 | 1,941 | 1,387 | 1,664 | 2,057 | 2,200 |
| Change | - | -5.19% | 23.2% | 9.11% | -28.54% | 19.95% | 23.62% | 6.96% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -129 | -182 | -337 | -305 | -326 | -257.5 | -239.5 | -219 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,393 | 1,220 | 1,441 | 1,635 | 1,061 | 1,408 | 1,815 | 1,985 |
| Change | - | -12.42% | 18.11% | 13.46% | -35.11% | 32.66% | 28.94% | 9.36% |
| Net income 1 | 1,129 | 974 | 1,100 | 1,229 | 800 | 1,060 | 1,400 | 1,521 |
| Change | - | -13.73% | 12.94% | 11.73% | -34.91% | 32.54% | 32.01% | 8.68% |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/22 | 2/10/23 | 2/2/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/5/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Afry AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,565 | - | 6,842 | 6,135 | 5,321 | 5,365 | 4,800 | 4,227 |
| Change | - | - | - | -10.33% | -13.27% | 0.83% | -10.53% | -11.94% |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/22 | 2/10/23 | 2/2/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/5/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Afry AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 52 | 147 | 107 | 88 | 114.7 | 168 | 159.3 |
| Change | - | - | -27.21% | -17.76% | 30.3% | 46.51% | -5.16% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,446 | 1,647 | 1,887 | 2,132 | 1,419 | 1,550 | 1,726 |
| Change | - | - | 14.57% | 12.98% | -33.43% | 9.22% | 11.36% |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/22 | 2/2/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/5/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Afry AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 11.73% | 10.32% | 10.07% | 10.46% | 8.61% | 9.96% | 10.95% | 10.97% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 7.58% | 6.13% | 6.59% | 7.15% | 5.38% | 6.6% | 7.77% | 7.99% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 6.93% | 5.18% | 5.34% | 6.02% | 4.12% | 5.59% | 6.85% | 7.21% |
| Net margin (%) | 5.62% | 4.14% | 4.08% | 4.53% | 3.11% | 4.21% | 5.29% | 5.52% |
| FCF margin (%) | 7.19% | - | 6.1% | 6.95% | 8.28% | 5.63% | 5.85% | 6.27% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 128.08% | - | 149.73% | 153.54% | 266.5% | 133.84% | 110.74% | 113.46% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.57% | - | 3.92% | 3.7% | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 10.8% | - | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 8.41% | 10.39% | 10.96% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.51x | - | 2.52x | 2.16x | 2.4x | 2.14x | 1.66x | 1.4x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 2.47x | - | 4.15x | 3.25x | 2.5x | 3.78x | 3.1x | 2.45x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.26% | - | 0.54% | 0.39% | 0.34% | 0.46% | 0.63% | 0.58% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 2.2% | - | 5.41% | 3.76% | 3.97% | 4.57% | 5.79% | 5.28% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 3.6% | - | 8.93% | 5.67% | 4.13% | 8.08% | 10.84% | 9.23% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 13.26 | - | 15.84 | 17.61 | 19.6 | 18.1 | 16.1 | 17.3 |
| Change | - | - | - | 11.15% | 11.33% | -7.66% | -11.05% | 7.45% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 5.5 | - | 5.5 | 6 | 6 | 6.332 | 7.403 | 8.206 |
| Change | - | - | - | 9.09% | 0% | 5.53% | 16.93% | 10.84% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 97.09 | - | 110 | 115.9 | 111.9 | 117.9 | 124.3 | 129.6 |
| Change | - | - | - | 5.41% | -3.44% | 5.33% | 5.47% | 4.18% |
| EPS 1 | 9.973 | 8.603 | 9.71 | 10.85 | 7.07 | 9.364 | 12.36 | 13.44 |
| Change | - | -13.74% | 12.87% | 11.74% | -34.84% | 32.44% | 32.04% | 8.67% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 113,212 | 113,252 | 113,252 | 113,252 | 113,252 | 113,252 | 113,252 | 113,252 |
| Announcement Date | 2/4/22 | 2/10/23 | 2/2/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/5/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.4x | 8.61x |
| PBR | 0.9x | 0.86x |
| EV / Sales | 0.69x | 0.64x |
| Yield | 5.95% | 6.95% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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