Projected Income Statement: AECOM

Forecast Balance Sheet: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 982 1,052 - 959 1,158 1,921 1,781 1,461
Change - 7.13% - - 20.75% 65.89% -7.29% -17.97%
Announcement Date 11/15/21 11/14/22 11/13/23 11/18/24 11/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 136.3 128.1 105.3 119.6 136.7 124.2 133.5 129.8
Change - -5.99% -17.8% 13.58% 14.28% -9.12% 7.45% -2.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 568.4 585.6 590.7 708.4 685.2 350 712.5 -
Change - 3.02% 0.87% 19.93% -3.27% -48.92% 103.57% -100%
Announcement Date 11/15/21 11/14/22 11/13/23 11/18/24 11/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.22% 6.85% 6.7% 6.8% 7.45% 6.17% 7.94% 7.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.25% 5.88% 5.89% 6.12% 6.8% 5.21% 7.09% 7.36%
EBT Margin (%) 3.06% 4.19% 1.48% 4.46% 5.67% 3.09% 6.46% 6.69%
Net margin (%) 1.3% 2.36% 0.38% 2.5% 3.48% 2.02% 4.61% 4.77%
FCF margin (%) 4.26% 4.45% 4.11% 4.4% 4.25% 2.29% 4.22% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 328.21% 188.53% 1,067.56% 176.1% 121.97% 113.09% 91.65% -

Profitability

        
ROA 3.41% 3.4% 4.64% 3.45% 4.63% 2.8% 6.5% 7.5%
ROE 14.05% 19.08% 22.16% 28.06% 24.02% 19.92% 31.28% 27.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.18x 1.17x - 0.88x 0.96x 2.04x 1.33x 0.99x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.73x 1.8x - 1.35x 1.69x 5.49x 2.5x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.02% 0.97% 0.73% 0.74% 0.85% 0.81% 0.79% 0.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.42% 14.23% 10.92% 10.92% 11.36% 13.16% 9.97% 8.77%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.97% 21.87% 17.83% 16.88% 19.95% 35.49% 18.73% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.708 5.002 4.968 6.064 6.163 5.303 5.403 -
Change - 6.23% -0.68% 22.08% 1.63% -13.95% 1.88% -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.6 0.72 0.88 1.04 1.169 1.204 1.443
Change - - 20% 22.22% 18.18% 12.38% 3.04% 19.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 18.95 17.52 15.87 16.69 18.91 18.62 24.77 30.87
Change - -7.52% -9.44% 5.18% 13.33% -1.54% 32.98% 24.65%
EPS 1 1.16 2.18 0.39 2.95 4.21 2.603 6.083 7.18
Change - 87.93% -82.11% 656.41% 42.71% -38.16% 133.67% 18.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 144,062 139,650 138,727 134,067 132,446 128,523 128,523 128,523
Announcement Date 11/15/21 11/14/22 11/13/23 11/18/24 11/18/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.9x 9.81x
PBR 3.2x 2.41x
EV / Sales 0.63x 0.56x
Yield 1.96% 2.02%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
59.66USD
Average target price
86.92USD
Spread / Average Target
+45.69%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise