Projected Income Statement: AECOM

Forecast Balance Sheet: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 982 1,052 - 959 1,158 1,743 1,404 1,078
Change - 7.13% - - 20.75% 50.52% -19.45% -23.22%
Announcement Date 11/15/21 11/14/22 11/13/23 11/18/24 11/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 136.3 128.1 105.3 119.6 136.7 122 130 133
Change - -5.99% -17.8% 13.58% 14.28% -10.74% 6.55% 2.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 568.4 585.6 590.7 708.4 685.2 400 684.6 -
Change - 3.02% 0.87% 19.93% -3.27% -41.62% 71.16% -100%
Announcement Date 11/15/21 11/14/22 11/13/23 11/18/24 11/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.22% 6.85% 6.7% 6.8% 7.45% 7.82% 8.18% 8.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.25% 5.88% 5.89% 6.12% 6.8% 7.14% 7.51% 7.87%
EBT Margin (%) 3.06% 4.19% 1.48% 4.46% 5.67% 5.04% 6.86% 7.43%
Net margin (%) 1.3% 2.36% 0.38% 2.5% 3.48% 3.48% 4.73% 5.18%
FCF margin (%) 4.26% 4.45% 4.11% 4.4% 4.25% 2.44% 3.96% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 328.21% 188.53% 1,067.56% 176.1% 121.97% 70.15% 83.66% -

Profitability

        
ROA 3.41% 3.4% 4.64% 3.45% 4.63% 4.8% 6.7% 7.5%
ROE 14.05% 19.08% 22.16% 28.06% 24.02% 28.42% 29.01% 25.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.18x 1.17x - 0.88x 0.96x 1.36x 0.99x 0.71x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.73x 1.8x - 1.35x 1.69x 4.36x 2.05x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.02% 0.97% 0.73% 0.74% 0.85% 0.74% 0.75% 0.74%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.42% 14.23% 10.92% 10.92% 11.36% 9.51% 9.19% 8.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.97% 21.87% 17.83% 16.88% 19.95% 30.5% 18.99% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.708 5.002 4.968 6.064 6.163 7.354 8.218 -
Change - 6.23% -0.68% 22.08% 1.63% 19.32% 11.76% -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.6 0.72 0.88 1.04 1.155 1.325 1.489
Change - - 20% 22.22% 18.18% 11.1% 14.7% 12.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 18.95 17.52 15.87 16.69 18.91 20.48 26.38 32.58
Change - -7.52% -9.44% 5.18% 13.33% 8.28% 28.81% 23.49%
EPS 1 1.16 2.18 0.39 2.95 4.21 4.607 6.453 7.505
Change - 87.93% -82.11% 656.41% 42.71% 9.42% 40.09% 16.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 144,062 139,650 138,727 134,067 132,446 128,523 128,523 128,523
Announcement Date 11/15/21 11/14/22 11/13/23 11/18/24 11/18/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.3x 10.9x
PBR 3.45x 2.67x
EV / Sales 0.66x 0.61x
Yield 1.64% 1.88%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
70.56USD
Average target price
99.21USD
Spread / Average Target
+40.60%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise