Projected Income Statement: adidas AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,333 2,675 1,548 3,132 3,937 3,925 3,751 3,524
Change - 300.68% -42.13% 102.33% 25.7% -0.3% -4.43% -6.05%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 1/31/24 3/4/25 3/3/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 667 695 504 540 363 525.7 565.6 595.8
Change - 4.2% -27.48% 7.14% -32.78% 44.83% 7.58% 5.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,525 -1,238 2,126 2,370 388 2,239 2,398 2,722
Change - -149.03% 271.73% 11.48% -83.63% 477.04% 7.11% 13.52%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 1/31/24 3/4/25 3/3/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.76% 9.08% 6.91% 10.75% 12.94% 13.29% 14.18% 14.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.35% 2.97% 1.25% 5.65% 8.29% 9.06% 9.97% 10.47%
EBT Margin (%) 8.72% 1.72% 0.3% 4.73% 7.34% 8.35% 9.49% 10.03%
Net margin (%) 9.97% 2.72% -0.35% 3.23% 5.4% 6.01% 6.85% 7.32%
FCF margin (%) 11.89% -5.5% 9.92% 10.01% 1.56% 8.28% 8.3% 8.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.33% -202.29% -2,834.67% 310.21% 28.96% 137.75% 121.11% 119.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.8% 2.88% -0.39% 3.95% 6.55% 7.91% 9.65% 11.14%
ROE 30.29% 9.78% -1.57% 15.19% 23.82% 26.6% 29.72% 31.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.31x 1.05x 1.23x 1.23x 1.09x 0.92x 0.79x
Debt / Free cash flow - -2.16x 0.73x 1.32x 10.15x 1.75x 1.56x 1.29x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.14% 3.09% 2.35% 2.28% 1.46% 1.95% 1.96% 1.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 21.28% 34% 34.05% 21.22% 11.31% 14.63% 13.8% 13.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 26.42% -56.14% 23.71% 22.78% 93.56% 23.48% 23.58% 21.89%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.44 -2.963 14.73 16.3 4.206 12.04 14.16 16.79
Change - -118.02% 597.12% 10.64% -74.19% 186.26% 17.62% 18.6%
Dividend per Share 1 3.3 0.7 0.7 2 2.8 3.598 4.383 5.069
Change - -78.79% 0% 185.71% 40% 28.5% 21.81% 15.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.72 27.96 25.65 30.67 32.33 34.96 40.49 43.42
Change - -27.81% -8.24% 19.56% 5.41% 8.15% 15.8% 7.23%
EPS 1 10.9 3.34 -0.42 4.28 7.51 9.43 11.69 13.79
Change - -69.36% -112.57% 1,119.05% 75.47% 25.56% 23.95% 18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 191,595 193,215 178,549 178,549 178,549 173,979 173,979 173,979
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 1/31/24 3/4/25 3/3/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.1x 12.2x
PBR 4.07x 3.51x
EV / Sales 1.06x 0.99x
Yield 2.53% 3.08%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
30
Last Close Price
142.25EUR
Average target price
198.97EUR
Spread / Average Target
+39.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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