Projected Income Statement: XPeng Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: XPeng Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - XPeng Inc.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,893 -6,814 -11,587 -8,313 -4,621 -13,155 -15,483 -19,171
Change - 81.02% -70.05% 28.26% 44.41% -184.69% -17.7% -23.82%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,300 4,680 2,312 2,226 3,156 3,037 3,068 3,121
Change - 103.5% -50.61% -3.69% 41.77% -3.78% 1.03% 1.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,394 -12,508 -1,355 -4,238 5,103 -7,374 7,391 7,717
Change - -268.51% 89.16% -212.72% 220.39% -244.52% 200.23% 4.41%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -27.36% -27.16% -28.63% -10% 0.28% -1.77% 1.54% 3.63%
EBIT Margin (%) -31.35% -32.42% -35.5% -16.29% -3.61% -5.14% -0.93% 1.14%
EBT Margin (%) -23.05% -33.95% -33.88% -14.27% -1.51% -4.6% -0.1% 1.84%
Net margin (%) -23.17% -34.03% -33.82% -14.17% -1.49% -4.52% -0.31% 1.75%
FCF margin (%) -16.17% -46.58% -4.42% -10.37% 6.65% -8.53% 6.78% 5.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 69.8% 136.87% 13.06% 73.2% -447.81% 188.89% -2,213.74% 340.72%

Profitability

        
ROA -8.81% -13.33% -13.33% -6.94% -1.23% -3.92% 0.34% 3.56%
ROE -12.7% -23.12% -28.33% -17.13% -3.7% -14.25% 1.94% 8.62%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.96% 17.43% 7.54% 5.45% 4.11% 3.51% 2.82% 2.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -40.05% -64.15% -26.32% -54.49% 1,457.45% -198.41% 182.38% 66.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -67.75% -37.41% -170.55% -52.52% 61.85% -41.18% 41.51% 40.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.332 -9.614 1.098 -2.128 4.338 -1.483 9.458 4.238
Change - -621.52% 111.42% -293.81% 303.83% -134.2% 737.58% -55.19%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 51.31 42.91 38.57 33.07 31.9 28.14 28.11 29.23
Change - -16.37% -10.12% -14.25% -3.54% -11.8% -0.1% 4.01%
EPS 1 -5.92 -10.67 -11.92 -6.12 -1.2 -3.567 -0.4801 1.936
Change - -80.24% -11.72% 48.66% 80.39% -197.25% 86.54% 503.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 843,413 856,765 939,549 948,803 954,674 956,972 956,972 956,972
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -17.4x -129x
PBR 2.21x 2.21x
EV / Sales 0.54x 0.4x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - XPeng Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - XPeng Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - XPeng Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - XPeng Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
62.14CNY
Average target price
119.93CNY
Spread / Average Target
+93.00%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - XPeng Inc.