Projected Income Statement: XPeng Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,893 -6,814 -11,587 -8,313 -4,621 -14,811 -18,071 -22,720
Change - 81.02% -70.05% 28.26% 44.41% -220.53% -22.01% -25.73%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,300 4,680 2,312 2,226 3,156 3,075 3,096 3,151
Change - 103.5% -50.61% -3.69% 41.77% -2.57% 0.69% 1.79%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,394 -12,508 -1,355 -4,238 5,103 -4,669 6,119 6,201
Change - -268.51% 89.16% -212.72% 220.39% -191.5% 231.06% 1.34%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -27.36% -27.16% -28.63% -10% 0.28% -1.62% 2.99% 4.16%
EBIT Margin (%) -31.35% -32.42% -35.5% -16.29% -3.61% -5.07% -0.51% 1.43%
EBT Margin (%) -23.05% -33.95% -33.88% -14.27% -1.51% -4.61% 0.52% 2.2%
Net margin (%) -23.17% -34.03% -33.82% -14.17% -1.49% -4.54% 0.42% 2.24%
FCF margin (%) -16.17% -46.58% -4.42% -10.37% 6.65% -5.35% 5.4% 4.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 69.8% 136.87% 13.06% 73.2% -447.81% 118.02% 1,284.1% 210.69%

Profitability

        
ROA -8.81% -13.33% -13.33% -6.94% -1.23% -3.94% 1.54% 3.66%
ROE -12.7% -23.12% -28.33% -17.13% -3.7% -14.43% 5.59% 11.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.96% 17.43% 7.54% 5.45% 4.11% 3.52% 2.73% 2.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -40.05% -64.15% -26.32% -54.49% 1,457.45% -218.09% 91.41% 57.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -67.75% -37.41% -170.55% -52.52% 61.85% -65.85% 50.59% 50.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.332 -9.614 1.098 -2.128 4.338 5.538 10.9 10.34
Change - -621.52% 111.42% -293.81% 303.83% 27.68% 96.83% -5.17%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 51.31 42.91 38.57 33.07 31.9 28.36 29.91 32.17
Change - -16.37% -10.12% -14.25% -3.54% -11.11% 5.46% 7.57%
EPS 1 -5.92 -10.67 -11.92 -6.12 -1.2 -3.593 0.5735 2.889
Change - -80.24% -11.72% 48.66% 80.39% -199.43% 115.96% 403.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 843,413 856,765 939,549 948,803 954,674 956,972 956,972 956,972
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -21.6x 135x
PBR 2.74x 2.59x
EV / Sales 0.68x 0.5x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
77.57CNY
Average target price
137.35CNY
Spread / Average Target
+77.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise