Projected Income Statement: Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -48,400 -57,083 -70,077 -81,201
Change - -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 27.98% -17.94% -22.76% -15.87%
Announcement Date 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 25,460 23,121 22,436 24,157
Change - 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 42.2% -9.19% -2.97% 7.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 20,135 34,356 41,305 44,697
Change - -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% -29.45% 70.63% 20.23% 8.21%
Announcement Date 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.59% 15.52% 16.58% 16.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 10.69% 11.53% 12.54% 13.02%
EBT Margin (%) 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 9.89% 11.1% 12.59% 13.16%
Net margin (%) 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 7.19% 8.45% 9.59% 9.9%
FCF margin (%) 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 4.2% 6.86% 7.56% 7.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 58.44% 81.23% 78.8% 78.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 5.35% 8% 8.82% 8.99%
ROE 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 19.57% 24.08% 26.24% 25.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 5.31% 4.62% 4.11% 4.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 34.08% 29.75% 24.76% 24.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 126.45% 67.3% 54.32% 54.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 22.43 25.86 36.75 36.36
Change - -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% -1.85% 15.32% 42.09% -1.06%
Dividend per Share 1 13 14 18 18.5 13 15.5 18.37 19.72
Change - 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -29.73% 19.23% 18.49% 7.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 87.7 96.49 105.2 113.6
Change - 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -8.07% 10.02% 9.07% 7.93%
EPS 1 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 16.94 20.73 25.28 27.49
Change - -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -31.64% 22.38% 21.95% 8.72%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452
Announcement Date 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.6x 12.8x
PBR 3.36x 3.08x
EV / Sales 1.2x 1.08x
Yield 4.78% 5.67%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
324.10SEK
Average target price
357.60SEK
Spread / Average Target
+10.34%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise