Projected Income Statement: UPL Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: UPL Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 182,140 177,960 217,090 134,310 149,330 156,483 120,182 86,327
Change - -2.29% 21.99% -38.13% 11.18% 4.79% -23.2% -28.17%
Announcement Date 5/9/22 5/8/23 5/13/24 5/12/25 5/11/26 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: UPL Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 20,220 16,720 11,590 8,130 16,660 31,512 32,077 31,854
Change - -17.31% -30.68% -29.85% 104.92% 89.15% 1.79% -0.69%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 44,740 60,790 6,630 92,610 61,890 43,240 63,176 68,015
Change - 35.87% -89.09% 1,296.83% -33.17% -30.13% 46.11% 7.66%
Announcement Date 5/9/22 5/8/23 5/13/24 5/12/25 5/11/26 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: UPL Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.61% 20.83% 10.53% 16.3% 17.89% 19.06% 19.36% 19.52%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.51% 14.28% 4.12% 10.4% 12.24% 13.09% 13.46% 13.77%
EBT Margin (%) 10.45% 9.61% -4.84% 1.78% 6.09% 8.2% 9.37% 9.6%
Net margin (%) 7.84% 6.66% -2.78% 1.92% 3.71% 5.4% 6.29% 6.62%
FCF margin (%) 9.68% 11.35% 1.54% 19.86% 11.94% 7.66% 10.32% 10.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 123.39% 170.28% -55.25% 1,032.44% 322.01% 141.99% 163.95% 154.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.74% 4.17% -1.36% 1.02% - 2.7% 3.5% -
ROE 18.32% 14.71% -4.65% 3.32% 6.01% 8.74% 10.44% 10.82%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.91x 1.59x 4.78x 1.77x 1.61x 1.45x 1.01x 0.66x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.07x 2.93x 32.74x 1.45x 2.41x 3.62x 1.9x 1.27x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.37% 3.12% 2.69% 1.74% 3.21% 5.58% 5.24% 4.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 21.22% 14.98% 25.53% 10.7% 17.97% 29.29% 27.06% 24.51%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 45.19% 27.5% 174.81% 8.78% 26.92% 72.88% 50.77% 46.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 84.92 99.42 27.03 108 91.22 49.86 109.8 111.4
Change - 17.08% -72.81% 299.69% -15.57% -45.34% 120.22% 1.46%
Dividend per Share 1 10 10 2 2 6 8.902 9.924 9.992
Change - 0% -80% 0% 200% 48.37% 11.47% 0.69%
Book Value Per Share 1 283.3 358.1 330.8 367.5 410.6 443.8 483.9 528.6
Change - 26.39% -7.64% 11.1% 11.74% 8.08% 9.04% 9.22%
EPS 1 45.87 45.79 -17.8 9.62 22.32 37.29 47.01 52.22
Change - -0.17% -138.87% 154.04% 132.02% 67.08% 26.06% 11.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 763,938 750,608 750,608 844,434 844,434 844,169 844,169 844,169
Announcement Date 5/9/22 5/8/23 5/13/24 5/12/25 5/11/26 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 15.2x 12.1x
PBR 1.28x 1.17x
EV / Sales 1.13x 0.98x
Yield 1.57% 1.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
568.00INR
Average target price
731.24INR
Spread / Average Target
+28.74%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise