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Market Closed -
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 226.20 EUR | +0.49% |
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+2.17% | -5.20% |
| 08-11 | Berenberg Adjusts UCB Forecasts After H1 Beat; Buy Reaffirmed | MT |
| 08-11 | UCB barely moves despite positive calls from ING and Berenberg |  |
Projected Income Statement: UCB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 5,777 | 5,517 | 5,252 | 6,152 | 7,741 | 8,673 | 9,683 | 10,776 |
| Change | - | -4.5% | -4.8% | 17.14% | 25.83% | 12.03% | 11.65% | 11.29% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,641 | 1,260 | 1,349 | 1,476 | 2,636 | 2,995 | 3,653 | 4,306 |
| Change | - | -23.22% | 7.06% | 9.41% | 78.59% | 13.61% | 21.97% | 17.89% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,318 | 675 | 657 | 836 | 2,009 | 2,443 | 3,005 | 3,696 |
| Change | - | -48.79% | -2.67% | 27.25% | 140.31% | 21.61% | 22.99% | 23.02% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -58 | -74 | -163 | -161 | -126 | -106.4 | -99.41 | -96.94 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,226 | 511 | 441 | 1,163 | 1,822 | 2,329 | 2,847 | 3,495 |
| Change | - | -58.32% | -13.7% | 163.72% | 56.66% | 27.83% | 22.24% | 22.78% |
| Net income 1 | 1,058 | 418 | 343 | 1,065 | 1,558 | 1,886 | 2,346 | 2,859 |
| Change | - | -60.49% | -17.94% | 210.5% | 46.29% | 21.08% | 24.34% | 21.9% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/24/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: UCB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 860 | 2,000 | 2,177 | 1,454 | -7 | 213 | -1,903 | -4,484 |
| Change | - | 132.56% | 8.85% | -33.21% | -100.48% | 3,142.86% | -993.43% | -135.63% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/24/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: UCB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 282 | 252 | 316 | 322 | 449 | 402.7 | 606.3 | 717.2 |
| Change | - | -10.64% | 25.4% | 1.9% | 39.44% | -10.3% | 50.55% | 18.29% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,271 | 867 | 445 | 920 | 1,842 | 2,089 | 2,654 | 3,157 |
| Change | - | -31.79% | -48.67% | 106.74% | 100.22% | 13.4% | 27.03% | 18.97% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/24/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: UCB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 28.41% | 22.84% | 25.69% | 23.99% | 34.05% | 34.53% | 37.72% | 39.96% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 22.81% | 12.23% | 12.51% | 13.59% | 25.95% | 28.17% | 31.03% | 34.3% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 21.22% | 9.26% | 8.4% | 18.9% | 23.54% | 26.85% | 29.4% | 32.44% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.31% | 7.58% | 6.53% | 17.31% | 20.13% | 21.75% | 24.22% | 26.53% |
| FCF margin (%) | 22% | 15.72% | 8.47% | 14.95% | 23.8% | 24.09% | 27.4% | 29.29% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 120.13% | 207.42% | 129.74% | 86.38% | 118.23% | 110.73% | 113.13% | 110.41% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.91% | 5.51% | 5.07% | 6.48% | 8.78% | 10.49% | 10.93% | 11.1% |
| ROE | 15.66% | 9.5% | 8.83% | 11.21% | 14.91% | 17.95% | 19.7% | 19.12% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.52x | 1.59x | 1.61x | 0.99x | - | 0.07x | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.68x | 2.31x | 4.89x | 1.58x | - | 0.1x | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.88% | 4.57% | 6.02% | 5.23% | 5.8% | 4.64% | 6.26% | 6.66% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 17.18% | 20% | 23.42% | 21.82% | 17.03% | 13.45% | 16.6% | 16.66% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 22.19% | 29.07% | 71.01% | 35% | 24.38% | 19.28% | 22.85% | 22.72% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 8 | 5.743 | 3.899 | 6.537 | 12.06 | 12.22 | 15.13 | 18.59 |
| Change | - | -28.21% | -32.12% | 67.66% | 84.46% | 1.37% | 23.79% | 22.88% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.3 | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.457 | 1.502 | 1.534 |
| Change | - | 2.31% | 2.26% | 2.21% | 4.32% | 0.45% | 3.11% | 2.12% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 43.2 | 46.6 | 47.31 | 52.78 | 57.09 | 62.27 | 71.9 | 87.3 |
| Change | - | 7.88% | 1.53% | 11.56% | 8.15% | 9.07% | 15.47% | 21.42% |
| EPS 1 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 1.76 | 5.61 | 8.2 | 9.969 | 12.18 | 14.87 |
| Change | - | -60.71% | -20% | 218.75% | 46.17% | 21.57% | 22.17% | 22.09% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 188,812 | 189,959 | 189,721 | 189,720 | 189,996 | 190,663 | 190,663 | 190,663 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/27/25 | 2/24/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 22.7x | 18.6x |
| PBR | 3.63x | 3.15x |
| EV / Sales | 5x | 4.26x |
| Yield | 0.64% | 0.66% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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