Projected Income Statement: UCB

Forecast Balance Sheet: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 860 2,000 2,177 1,454 -7 -1,112 -3,057 -5,455
Change - 132.56% 8.85% -33.21% -100.48% -15,785.71% -174.91% -78.44%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 282 252 316 322 449 375.2 513.2 606.2
Change - -10.64% 25.4% 1.9% 39.44% -16.44% 36.77% 18.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,271 867 445 920 1,842 1,965 2,583 3,130
Change - -31.79% -48.67% 106.74% 100.22% 6.68% 31.44% 21.18%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.41% 22.84% 25.69% 23.99% 34.05% 34.18% 37.39% 39.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.81% 12.23% 12.51% 13.59% 25.95% 27.44% 31.02% 34.14%
EBT Margin (%) 21.22% 9.26% 8.4% 18.9% 23.54% 25.58% 29.27% 32.6%
Net margin (%) 18.31% 7.58% 6.53% 17.31% 20.13% 20.48% 23.93% 26.66%
FCF margin (%) 22% 15.72% 8.47% 14.95% 23.8% 23.06% 26.84% 29.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 120.13% 207.42% 129.74% 86.38% 118.23% 112.61% 112.15% 109.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.91% 5.51% 5.07% 6.48% - 9.38% 10.41% 10.87%
ROE 15.66% 9.5% 8.83% 11.21% - 17.48% 19.11% 19.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.52x 1.59x 1.61x 0.99x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.68x 2.31x 4.89x 1.58x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.88% 4.57% 6.02% 5.23% 5.8% 4.4% 5.33% 5.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.18% 20% 23.42% 21.82% 17.03% 12.88% 14.26% 14.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.19% 29.07% 71.01% 35% 24.38% 19.09% 19.87% 19.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8 5.743 3.899 6.537 12.06 12 15.01 18.98
Change - -28.21% -32.12% 67.66% 84.46% -0.48% 25.12% 26.42%
Dividend per Share 1 1.3 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.45 1.465 1.505 1.538
Change - 2.31% 2.26% 2.21% 4.32% 1.01% 2.74% 2.19%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.2 46.6 47.31 52.78 - 61.72 72.05 87.62
Change - 7.88% 1.53% 11.56% - - 16.74% 21.62%
EPS 1 5.6 2.2 1.76 5.61 8.2 9.298 11.97 14.88
Change - -60.71% -20% 218.75% 46.17% 13.39% 28.75% 24.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 188,812 189,959 189,721 189,720 189,996 190,361 190,361 190,361
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 27.8x 21.6x
PBR 4.19x 3.59x
EV / Sales 5.64x 4.8x
Yield 0.57% 0.58%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
258.50EUR
Average target price
287.68EUR
Spread / Average Target
+11.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise