Projected Income Statement: UACJ Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: UACJ Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 325,113 341,870 270,468 323,224 330,273 364,802 361,675 343,448
Change - 5.15% -20.89% 19.51% 2.18% 10.45% -0.86% -5.04%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/14/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: UACJ Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 20,728 26,394 33,181 37,504 55,677 54,162 52,443 53,302
Change - 27.34% 25.71% 13.03% 48.46% -2.72% -3.17% 1.64%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -13,236 25,659 58,700 -27,754 4,498 -8,500 35,000 35,767
Change - 293.86% 128.77% -147.28% 116.21% -288.97% 511.76% 2.19%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/14/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: UACJ Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.51% 5.66% 8.94% 9.56% 9.9% 9.32% 9.2% 8.42%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.6% 1.79% 3.51% 5.74% 6.5% 6.22% 5.87% 5.69%
EBT Margin (%) 6.4% 0.74% 2.46% 4.31% 5.39% 5.15% 4.79% 4.63%
Net margin (%) 4.09% 0.49% 1.55% 2.8% 3.29% 3.16% 2.99% 2.82%
FCF margin (%) -1.69% 2.66% 6.57% -2.78% 0.38% -0.63% 2.58% 2.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) -41.29% 545.59% 423.58% -99.2% 11.57% -20.07% 86.25% 93.03%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.7% 1.03% 2.48% 4.57% 6.09% 3.8% 3.8% 2.9%
ROE 15.6% 2% 5.3% 9.9% 12.2% 12.2% 9.69% 9.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.61x 6.27x 3.39x 3.38x 2.82x 2.92x 2.9x 2.99x
Debt / Free cash flow -24.56x 13.32x 4.61x -11.65x 73.43x -42.92x 10.33x 9.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.65% 2.74% 3.72% 3.75% 4.71% 4.04% 3.87% 3.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23% 48.43% 41.58% 39.27% 47.61% 43.36% 42.04% 46.46%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -156.6% 102.86% 56.53% -135.13% 1,237.82% -637.2% 149.84% 149.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 324.7 198 260.6 346.2 436.1 - - -
Change - -39.02% 31.6% 32.86% 25.97% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 21.25 21.25 22.5 37.5 55 63 63.17 64.83
Change - 0% 5.88% 66.67% 46.67% 14.55% 0.26% 2.64%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,182 1,286 1,436 1,605 1,916 2,091 2,216 2,349
Change - 8.79% 11.7% 11.77% 19.37% 9.13% 5.98% 5.98%
EPS 1 166.2 24.38 71.84 146.5 214.8 234 224.1 212.4
Change - -85.33% 194.63% 103.9% 46.59% 8.96% -4.22% -5.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 192,893 192,887 192,880 181,035 181,069 181,069 181,069 181,069
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/14/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 10.3x 10.8x
PBR 1.15x 1.09x
EV / Sales 0.6x 0.59x
Yield 2.61% 2.62%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
2,414.00JPY
Average target price
3,113.33JPY
Spread / Average Target
+28.97%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise