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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 34.09 USD | +2.04% |
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+12.84% | -31.83% |
| 08-06 | Tractor Supply Company Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 8, 2026 | CI |
| 08-05 | Tractor Supply Company Expands Pet Assortment with More Than 200 New Dog and Cat Products | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Tractor Supply Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 12,731 | 14,205 | 14,556 | 14,883 | 15,524 | 15,953 | 16,615 | 17,546 |
| Change | - | 11.57% | 2.47% | 2.25% | 4.31% | 2.76% | 4.15% | 5.6% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,577 | 1,778 | 1,872 | 1,915 | 1,961 | 1,889 | 1,977 | 2,114 |
| Change | - | 12.76% | 5.28% | 2.28% | 2.44% | -3.7% | 4.65% | 6.96% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,307 | 1,435 | 1,479 | 1,468 | 1,467 | 1,347 | 1,421 | 1,540 |
| Change | - | 9.81% | 3.06% | -0.77% | -0.01% | -8.19% | 5.48% | 8.34% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -26.61 | -30.63 | -46.51 | -54.59 | -69.14 | -73.33 | -76.34 | -72.16 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,280 | 1,404 | 1,432 | 1,413 | 1,398 | 1,251 | 1,340 | 1,427 |
| Change | - | 9.7% | 2% | -1.36% | -1.04% | -10.52% | 7.08% | 6.5% |
| Net income 1 | 997.1 | 1,089 | 1,107 | 1,101 | 1,096 | 976.3 | 1,052 | 1,145 |
| Change | - | 9.19% | 1.7% | -0.54% | -0.47% | -10.92% | 7.74% | 8.89% |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 2/1/24 | 1/30/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Tractor Supply Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 145 | 999 | 1,367 | 1,612 | 1,607 | 1,993 | 1,804 | 1,895 |
| Change | - | 588.97% | 36.84% | 17.92% | -0.31% | 24.02% | -9.48% | 5.04% |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 2/1/24 | 1/30/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Tractor Supply Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 628.4 | 773.4 | 753.9 | 784 | 894.8 | 736.2 | 708.6 | 723.7 |
| Change | - | 23.06% | -2.52% | 4% | 14.12% | -17.72% | -3.75% | 2.14% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 510.3 | 583.6 | 580.2 | 636.8 | 1,310 | 622.5 | 875.9 | 936 |
| Change | - | 14.37% | -0.59% | 9.76% | 105.79% | -52.49% | 40.69% | 6.86% |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 2/1/24 | 1/30/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Tractor Supply Company
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 12.39% | 12.52% | 12.86% | 12.86% | 12.63% | 11.84% | 11.9% | 12.05% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 10.26% | 10.1% | 10.16% | 9.86% | 9.45% | 8.44% | 8.55% | 8.77% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 10.05% | 9.89% | 9.84% | 9.49% | 9.01% | 7.84% | 8.06% | 8.13% |
| Net margin (%) | 7.83% | 7.66% | 7.61% | 7.4% | 7.06% | 6.12% | 6.33% | 6.53% |
| FCF margin (%) | 4.01% | 4.11% | 3.99% | 4.28% | 8.44% | 3.9% | 5.27% | 5.33% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 51.18% | 53.61% | 52.4% | 57.82% | 119.55% | 63.76% | 83.26% | 81.71% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 13.46% | 13.39% | 12.55% | 11.6% | 11.18% | 8.81% | 9.48% | 10.4% |
| ROE | 50.79% | 53.83% | 52.82% | 49.83% | 45.18% | 38.53% | 37.95% | 38.48% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.09x | 0.56x | 0.73x | 0.84x | 0.82x | 1.06x | 0.91x | 0.9x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.28x | 1.71x | 2.36x | 2.53x | 1.23x | 3.2x | 2.06x | 2.02x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.94% | 5.44% | 5.18% | 5.27% | 5.76% | 4.61% | 4.26% | 4.12% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 39.85% | 43.5% | 40.27% | 40.95% | 45.62% | 38.98% | 35.85% | 34.23% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 123.15% | 132.51% | 129.95% | 123.13% | 68.28% | 118.26% | 80.9% | 77.32% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.966 | 2.42 | 2.431 | 2.633 | 3.084 | 2.765 | 3.02 | 3.18 |
| Change | - | 23.09% | 0.46% | 8.3% | 17.13% | -10.35% | 9.24% | 5.29% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.416 | 0.736 | 0.824 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.9667 | 1.026 | 1.15 |
| Change | - | 76.92% | 11.96% | 6.8% | 4.55% | 5.08% | 6.17% | 12.09% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.442 | 3.642 | 3.918 | 4.207 | 4.868 | 5.086 | 5.786 | 5.884 |
| Change | - | 5.81% | 7.56% | 7.38% | 15.71% | 4.48% | 13.76% | 1.7% |
| EPS 1 | 1.722 | 1.942 | 2.018 | 2.04 | 2.06 | 1.872 | 2.046 | 2.258 |
| Change | - | 12.78% | 3.91% | 1.09% | 0.98% | -9.1% | 9.25% | 10.39% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 569,075 | 552,316 | 540,571 | 534,195 | 528,404 | 524,450 | 524,450 | 524,450 |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 2/1/24 | 1/30/25 | 1/29/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.2x | 16.7x |
| PBR | 6.7x | 5.89x |
| EV / Sales | 1.25x | 1.18x |
| Yield | 2.84% | 3.01% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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