Projected Income Statement: Supalai

Forecast Balance Sheet: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,264 - 22,453 29,064 34,200 30,099 31,011 29,139
Change - - - 29.44% 17.67% -11.99% 3.03% -6.04%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 83.27 79.23 243 141.4 384.5 373 421.1
Change - - 206.67% -41.8% 171.92% -2.98% 12.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,926 -258.7 -930.2 711.7 9,240 4,522 3,851
Change - - -259.48% 176.51% 1,198.44% -51.07% -14.83%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.96% 27.59% 23.69% 24.57% 19.4% 21.79% 21.64% 22.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.54% 27.22% 23.25% 23.92% 18.52% 19.44% 19.46% 20.14%
EBT Margin (%) 31.15% 30.49% 24.6% 25.44% 21.23% 22.69% 22.5% 23.57%
Net margin (%) 24.25% 23.7% 19.21% 19.84% 16.64% 17.67% 18.18% 18.82%
FCF margin (%) 13.46% - -0.83% -2.98% 2.95% 36.42% 17.2% 13.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) 55.52% - -4.32% -15.03% 17.72% 206.11% 94.62% 73.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.13% - 7.21% 6.79% 4.11% 4.6% 4.91% 5.38%
ROE 17.98% - 12.35% 11.94% 7.51% 8.03% 8.24% 8.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.16x - 3.04x 3.79x 7.31x 5.44x 5.45x 4.74x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.65x - -86.78x -31.25x 48.06x 3.26x 6.86x 7.57x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.29% - 0.25% 0.78% 0.59% 1.52% 1.42% 1.52%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.99% - 1.07% 3.17% 3.02% 6.96% 6.56% 6.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.12% - -30.62% -26.12% 19.87% 4.16% 8.25% 10.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.058 - -0.092 -0.3518 0.4447 2.145 2.493 2.135
Change - - - -282.39% 226.41% 382.35% 16.24% -14.37%
Dividend per Share 1 1 - 1.45 1.35 1.4 1.254 1.282 1.405
Change - - - -6.9% 3.7% -10.46% 2.27% 9.56%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.59 - 25.84 27.23 28.48 29.56 30.96 31.94
Change - - - 5.35% 4.61% 3.81% 4.71% 3.18%
EPS 1 3.63 4.19 3.07 3.17 2.09 2.31 2.467 2.722
Change - 15.43% -26.73% 3.26% -34.07% 10.51% 6.79% 10.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,948,141 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,886,454 1,886,454 1,886,454 1,886,454
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 6.75x 6.32x
PBR 0.53x 0.5x
EV / Sales 2.35x 2.3x
Yield 8.04% 8.22%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
15.60THB
Average target price
17.91THB
Spread / Average Target
+14.79%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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