Projected Income Statement: Supalai

Forecast Balance Sheet: Supalai

Forecast Balance Sheet - Supalai
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,264 - 22,453 29,064 34,200 31,896 32,535 32,848
Change - - - 29.44% 17.67% -6.74% 2% 0.96%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 83.27 79.23 243 141.4 186 287 247.4
Change - - 206.67% -41.8% 31.54% 54.33% -13.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,926 -258.7 -930.2 711.7 5,850 4,032 5,103
Change - - -259.48% 176.51% 722.04% -31.08% 26.56%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.96% 27.59% 23.69% 24.57% 19.4% 20.65% 21.19% 21.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.54% 27.22% 23.25% 23.92% 18.52% 18.43% 19.1% 20.09%
EBT Margin (%) 31.15% 30.49% 24.6% 25.44% 21.23% 21.93% 22.17% 22.88%
Net margin (%) 24.25% 23.7% 19.21% 19.84% 16.64% 17.28% 17.84% 18.43%
FCF margin (%) 13.46% - -0.83% -2.98% 2.95% 22.97% 15.69% 18.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) 55.52% - -4.32% -15.03% 17.72% 132.96% 87.94% 101.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.13% - 7.21% 6.79% 4.11% 4.39% 4.55% 4.96%
ROE 17.98% - 12.35% 11.94% 7.51% 7.89% 7.91% 8.45%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.16x - 3.04x 3.79x 7.31x 6.07x 5.97x 5.54x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.65x - -86.78x -31.25x 48.06x 5.45x 8.07x 6.44x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.29% - 0.25% 0.78% 0.59% 0.73% 1.12% 0.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.99% - 1.07% 3.17% 3.02% 3.54% 5.27% 4.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.12% - -30.62% -26.12% 19.87% 3.18% 7.12% 4.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.058 - -0.092 -0.3518 0.4447 2.168 2.64 2.82
Change - - - -282.39% 226.41% 387.41% 21.8% 6.82%
Dividend per Share 1 1 - 1.45 1.35 1.4 1.263 1.274 1.376
Change - - - -6.9% 3.7% -9.81% 0.93% 8.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.59 - 25.84 27.23 28.48 29.48 30.46 31.65
Change - - - 5.35% 4.61% 3.51% 3.31% 3.9%
EPS 1 3.63 4.19 3.07 3.17 2.09 2.271 2.369 2.607
Change - 15.43% -26.73% 3.26% -34.07% 8.64% 4.34% 10.04%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,948,141 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,886,454 1,899,871 1,899,871 1,899,871
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.87x 6.58x
PBR 0.53x 0.51x
EV / Sales 2.42x 2.42x
Yield 8.09% 8.17%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Supalai


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Supalai
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Supalai
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Supalai
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
15.60THB
Average target price
17.69THB
Spread / Average Target
+13.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Supalai