Projected Income Statement: Sunway

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sunway

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,901 7,099 7,350 6,522 8,343 9,402 9,557 9,206
Change - 20.3% 3.54% -11.27% 27.92% 12.69% 1.65% -3.67%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sunway

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 876 107.6 122.9 222.3 303 256.2 324.4
Change - - 14.21% 80.87% 36.3% -15.43% 26.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 162.4 282.7 1,451 2,473 -1,452 1,206 1,529
Change - - 413.42% 70.42% -158.73% 183.03% 26.81%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/21/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sunway

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.63% 13.74% 13.65% 13.37% 15.28% 13.3% 12.67% 13.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.81% 11.9% 11.35% 11.26% 13.73% 13.16% 12.83% 13.1%
EBT Margin (%) 12.54% 17.71% 16.18% 19.34% 19.1% 15.41% 14.99% 15.13%
Net margin (%) 71.76% 13.03% 12.02% 14.64% 13.29% 10.55% 10.05% 9.85%
FCF margin (%) 4.37% - 4.6% 18.41% 25.2% -11.99% 8.7% 10.13%
FCF / Net Income (%) 6.09% - 38.31% 125.73% 189.67% -113.74% 86.53% 102.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.28% 2.65% 2.7% 3.84% 3.71% 3.43% 3.56% 3.51%
ROE 2.73% 5.51% 5.59% 8% 8.4% 7.67% 7.73% 7.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.86x 9.95x 8.77x 6.19x 5.56x 5.84x 5.44x 4.67x
Debt / Free cash flow 36.34x - 26x 4.49x 3.37x -6.47x 7.92x 6.02x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 23.59% - 1.75% 1.56% 2.27% 2.5% 1.85% 2.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 161.22% - 12.84% 11.66% 14.83% 18.82% 14.59% 16.47%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 539.49% - 38.07% 8.47% 8.99% -20.86% 21.25% 21.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.177 0.0659 0.0639 0.2389 0.4048 0.1189 0.2239 0.3435
Change - -62.77% -3.03% 273.91% 69.42% -70.62% 88.26% 53.43%
Dividend per Share 1 0.025 0.035 0.055 0.06 0.06 0.0732 0.0813 0.0902
Change - 40% 57.14% 9.09% 0% 22.08% 11% 10.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.05 2.14 2.15 2.25 2.38 2.545 2.7 2.836
Change - 4.39% 0.47% 4.65% 5.78% 6.95% 6.08% 5.02%
EPS 1 0.4491 0.1043 0.1124 0.1674 0.1906 0.192 0.2114 0.2276
Change - -76.78% 7.77% 48.93% 13.86% 0.75% 10.06% 7.71%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,889,070 4,889,075 5,455,663 6,177,963 6,760,421 6,760,421 6,760,421 6,760,421
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/23/23 2/21/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1MYR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.6x 21.5x
PBR 1.78x 1.68x
EV / Sales 3.31x 2.9x
Yield 1.61% 1.79%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
4.540MYR
Average target price
5.838MYR
Spread / Average Target
+28.60%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise