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Company Valuation: Santos Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 15,506 | 16,030 | 16,778 | 13,392 | 13,334 | 17,391 | - | - |
| Change | - | 3.38% | 4.67% | -20.18% | -0.43% | 30.43% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 20,579 | 19,480 | 21,042 | 18,283 | 19,098 | 22,012 | 21,343 | 20,617 |
| Change | - | -5.34% | 8.02% | -13.11% | 4.46% | 15.26% | -3.04% | -3.4% |
| P/E | 15x | 7.73x | 12x | 11x | 16.4x | 11.9x | 10.9x | 10.8x |
| PBR | 1.14x | 1.08x | 1.1x | 0.87x | 0.85x | 1.06x | 1.05x | 1.04x |
| PEG | - | 0x | -0.4x | -0.8x | -0.5x | 0.2x | 1.11x | 17.34x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 3.29x | 2.06x | 2.85x | 2.49x | 2.7x | 2.62x | 2.52x | 2.48x |
| EV / Revenue | 4.37x | 2.5x | 3.57x | 3.4x | 3.87x | 3.32x | 3.09x | 2.94x |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.68x | 3.54x | 5.26x | 5.03x | 5.71x | 4.82x | 4.37x | 4.24x |
| EV / EBIT | 14.3x | 5.19x | 10.1x | 9.08x | 12.1x | 9.22x | 8.19x | 7.9x |
| EV / FCF | 17.6x | 6.83x | 9.89x | 40.7x | 25.2x | 14.5x | 9.72x | 9.28x |
| FCF Yield | 5.68% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 2.46% | 3.96% | 6.89% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.14 | 0.151 | 0.262 | 0.233 | 0.237 | 0.3165 | 0.3784 | 0.368 |
| Rate of return | 3.05% | 3.11% | 5.06% | 5.64% | 5.76% | 5.9% | 7.05% | 6.86% |
| EPS 2 | 0.306 | 0.628 | 0.432 | 0.376 | 0.251 | 0.4501 | 0.4944 | 0.4975 |
| Distribution rate | 45.8% | 24% | 60.6% | 62% | 94.4% | 70.3% | 76.5% | 74% |
| Net sales 1 | 4,713 | 7,790 | 5,889 | 5,381 | 4,939 | 6,634 | 6,910 | 7,018 |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,679 | 5,498 | 3,997 | 3,637 | 3,342 | 4,566 | 4,887 | 4,867 |
| EBIT 1 | 1,436 | 3,751 | 2,075 | 2,013 | 1,574 | 2,388 | 2,606 | 2,611 |
| Net income 1 | 658 | 2,112 | 1,416 | 1,224 | 818 | 1,470 | 1,622 | 1,647 |
| Net Debt 1 | 5,073 | 3,450 | 4,264 | 4,891 | 5,764 | 4,621 | 3,952 | 3,226 |
| Reference price 2 | 4.588 | 4.853 | 5.181 | 4.134 | 4.116 | 5.367 | 5.367 | 5.367 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 3,379,649 | 3,303,215 | 3,238,575 | 3,239,501 | 3,239,897 | 3,240,271 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/21/23 | 2/20/24 | 2/18/25 | 1/21/26 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.79x | 3.54x | 6.6x | 5.26% | 1,707B | ||
| 12.4x | 1.72x | 5.61x | 3.77% | 371B | ||
| 7.86x | 0.6x | 3.76x | 6.7% | 281B | ||
| 7.89x | 0.87x | 3.85x | 3.49% | 248B | ||
| 7.99x | 1.03x | 4.28x | 4.76% | 191B | ||
| 5.63x | 1.66x | 2.66x | 8% | 143B | ||
| 3.39x | 1.53x | 2.9x | 11.34% | 114B | ||
| 7.06x | 0.81x | 1.97x | 4.05% | 92.33B | ||
| 8.65x | 0.81x | 4x | 4.78% | 78.59B | ||
| Average | 8.30x | 1.40x | 3.96x | 5.79% | 358.49B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 11.27x | 2.42x | 5.39x | 5.34% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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