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End-of-day quote
Nairobi S.E.
2026-09-11
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 35.20 KES | -2.76% |
|
-6.51% | +24.16% |
| 07-09 | African markets - factors to watch on July 9 | RE |
| 06-29 | Vodafone Kenya Limited completed the acquisition of an additional 15% stake in Safaricom PLC from the Government of Kenya. | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Safaricom PLC
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 298,078 | 310,905 | 349,447 | 388,689 | 427,559 | 476,352 | 527,667 | 578,886 |
| Change | - | 4.3% | 12.4% | 11.23% | 10% | 11.41% | 10.77% | 9.71% |
| EBITDA 1 | 149,062 | 139,862 | 163,293 | 172,151 | 220,262 | 255,815 | 285,457 | 315,148 |
| Change | - | -6.17% | 16.75% | 5.42% | 27.95% | 16.14% | 11.59% | 10.4% |
| EBIT 1 | 109,129 | 84,997 | 80,345 | 104,050 | 146,322 | 182,896 | 212,933 | 240,332 |
| Change | - | -22.11% | -5.47% | 29.5% | 40.63% | 25% | 16.42% | 12.87% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -6,439 | - | -16,642 | -20,909 | -19,685 | -18,324 | -19,398 | -20,521 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 102,213 | 88,345 | 84,687 | 93,210 | 126,818 | 163,728 | 196,922 | 228,307 |
| Change | - | -13.57% | -4.14% | 10.06% | 36.06% | 29.1% | 20.27% | 15.94% |
| Net income 1 | 69,648 | 62,269 | 62,992 | 69,799 | 95,609 | 109,758 | 134,020 | 154,982 |
| Change | - | -10.59% | 1.16% | 10.81% | 36.98% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 15.64% |
| Announcement Date | 5/12/22 | 5/11/23 | 5/9/24 | 5/9/25 | 5/7/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Safaricom PLC
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 34,531 | 63,444 | 85,279 | 77,435 | 82,300 | 123,152 | 113,984 | 103,599 |
| Change | - | 83.73% | 34.42% | -9.2% | 6.28% | 49.64% | -7.44% | -9.11% |
| Announcement Date | 5/12/22 | 5/11/23 | 5/9/24 | 5/9/25 | 5/7/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Safaricom PLC
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 49,778 | 66,331 | 66,636 | 60,793 | 80,150 | 72,122 | 78,411 | 83,729 |
| Change | - | 33.25% | 0.46% | -8.77% | 31.84% | -10.02% | 8.72% | 6.78% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 63,670 | 49,820 | 41,288 | 76,901 | 89,758 | 124,892 | 141,695 | 165,257 |
| Change | - | -21.75% | -17.13% | 86.26% | 16.72% | 39.14% | 13.45% | 16.63% |
| Announcement Date | 5/12/22 | 5/11/23 | 5/9/24 | 5/9/25 | 5/7/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Safaricom PLC
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 50.01% | 44.99% | 46.73% | 44.29% | 51.52% | 53.7% | 54.1% | 54.44% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 36.61% | 27.34% | 22.99% | 26.77% | 34.22% | 38.4% | 40.35% | 41.52% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 34.29% | 28.42% | 24.23% | 23.98% | 29.66% | 34.37% | 37.32% | 39.44% |
| Net margin (%) | 23.37% | 20.03% | 18.03% | 17.96% | 22.36% | 23.04% | 25.4% | 26.77% |
| FCF margin (%) | 21.36% | 16.02% | 11.82% | 19.78% | 20.99% | 26.22% | 26.85% | 28.55% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 91.42% | 80.01% | 65.54% | 110.18% | 93.88% | 113.79% | 105.73% | 106.63% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 24.12% | - | - | 12.07% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 24.2% | 26.5% |
| ROE | 50.27% | 38.08% | 30.44% | 34.55% | 50.48% | 53.25% | 56.06% | 56.81% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.23x | 0.45x | 0.52x | 0.45x | 0.37x | 0.48x | 0.4x | 0.33x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.54x | 1.27x | 2.07x | 1.01x | 0.92x | 0.99x | 0.8x | 0.63x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 16.7% | 21.33% | 19.07% | 15.64% | 18.75% | 15.14% | 14.86% | 14.46% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 33.39% | 47.43% | 40.81% | 35.31% | 36.39% | 28.19% | 27.47% | 26.57% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 78.18% | 133.14% | 161.4% | 79.05% | 89.3% | 57.75% | 55.34% | 50.67% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 2.766 | 2.899 | 2.694 | 3.433 | 4.247 | 4.549 | 5.199 | 5.743 |
| Change | - | 4.82% | -7.08% | 27.43% | 23.74% | 7.09% | 14.3% | 10.46% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.39 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 2.397 | 2.78 | 3.124 |
| Change | - | -13.67% | 0% | 0% | 66.67% | 19.87% | 15.97% | 12.38% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.481 | 4.681 | 5.65 | 4.43 | - | 5.511 | 6.101 | 6.736 |
| Change | - | 34.48% | 20.68% | -21.59% | - | - | 10.72% | 10.41% |
| EPS 1 | 1.74 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.74 | 2.39 | 2.871 | 3.351 | 3.776 |
| Change | - | -10.92% | 1.29% | 10.83% | 37.36% | 20.13% | 16.72% | 12.69% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 40,065,428 | 40,065,428 | 40,065,428 | 40,065,428 | 40,065,428 | 40,065,428 | 40,065,428 | 40,065,428 |
| Announcement Date | 5/12/22 | 5/11/23 | 5/9/24 | 5/9/25 | 5/7/26 | - | - | - |
| 2027 * | 2028 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.3x | 10.5x |
| PBR | 6.39x | 5.77x |
| EV / Sales | 3.22x | 2.89x |
| Yield | 6.81% | 7.9% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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