Projected Income Statement: Recordati

Forecast Balance Sheet: Recordati

Forecast Balance Sheet - Recordati
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 748 1,420 1,579 2,154 2,037 1,765 1,452 1,084
Change - 89.84% 11.2% 36.42% -5.43% -13.37% -17.73% -25.34%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/21/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 21.85 23.89 379.6 846.9 38.14 56 58.47 73.2
Change - 9.31% 1,489.15% 123.11% -95.5% 46.85% 4.4% 25.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 469.8 439 456 535.1 513.5 665.4 756.9 844
Change - -6.56% 3.87% 17.35% -4.03% 29.56% 13.76% 11.52%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/21/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 38.12% 36.3% 36.96% 36.97% 37.85% 36.43% 37.85% 38.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 31.02% 23.6% 26.8% 29.23% 29.59% 30.18% 31.49% 32.56%
EBT Margin (%) 29.33% 21.66% 23.58% 23.37% 22.2% 24.79% 27.53% 29.74%
Net margin (%) 24.43% 16.85% 18.69% 17.79% 16.94% 20.42% 22.59% 23.72%
FCF margin (%) 29.73% 23.69% 21.9% 22.85% 19.61% 23.83% 25% 26.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 121.71% 140.57% 117.16% 128.48% 115.76% 116.68% 110.63% 110.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.36% 9.17% 9.48% 8.92% 8.54% - - -
ROE 31.96% 32.33% 32.46% 31.93% 34.3% 31.34% 31.51% 30.87%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.24x 2.11x 2.05x 2.49x 2.06x 1.74x 1.27x 0.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.59x 3.23x 3.46x 4.03x 3.97x 2.65x 1.92x 1.28x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.38% 1.29% 18.23% 36.17% 1.46% 2.01% 1.93% 2.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.63% 3.55% 49.32% 97.82% 3.85% 5.51% 5.1% 5.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4.65% 5.44% 83.25% 158.28% 7.43% 8.42% 7.72% 8.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.352 2.208 2.32 2.726 2.854 3.518 4.166 4.634
Change - -6.09% 5.08% 17.46% 4.7% 23.27% 18.42% 11.24%
Dividend per Share 1 1.1 1.15 1.2 1.27 1.34 1.524 1.682 1.795
Change - 4.55% 4.35% 5.83% 5.51% 13.7% 10.36% 6.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.707 7.526 8.063 8.976 9.178 10.7 12.28 14.11
Change - 12.22% 7.14% 11.32% 2.25% 16.56% 14.78% 14.91%
EPS 1 1.846 1.494 1.861 1.992 2.121 2.467 3.024 3.538
Change - -19.07% 24.56% 7.04% 6.48% 16.31% 22.58% 16.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 206,325 205,406 205,645 204,479 204,565 204,813 204,813 204,813
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/21/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.2x 17.3x
PBR 4.88x 4.25x
EV / Sales 4.46x 4.01x
Yield 2.92% 3.22%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Recordati


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Recordati
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Recordati
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Ratings Surperformance© - Recordati
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
52.20EUR
Average target price
60.10EUR
Spread / Average Target
+15.13%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Recordati
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