Projected Income Statement: ORIX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 3,911,858 4,486,659 5,015,164 4,960,815 5,086,895 - - -
Change - 14.69% 11.78% -1.08% 2.54% - - -
Announcement Date 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/12/25 5/11/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 753,953 917,296 1,080,074 1,200,874 1,357,672 1,332,435
Change - 21.66% 17.75% 11.18% 13.06% -1.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 986,142 656,290 492,300 304,923 568,715 691,132
Change - -33.45% -24.99% -38.06% 86.51% 21.53%
Announcement Date 6/29/21 6/29/22 6/26/23 6/27/24 6/24/25 6/22/26
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 25.09% 25.03% 25.76% 25.44% 25.85% - - -
EBIT Margin (%) - 11.99% 11.78% 12.82% 11.54% 13.7% 15.32% 14.59% 14.82%
EBT Margin (%) - 20.03% 13.77% 16.7% 16.71% 20.76% 24.04% 20.54% 20.58%
Net margin (%) - 12.38% 10.24% 12.3% 12.23% 13.43% 16.45% 14.12% 14.17%
FCF margin (%) - 24.84% - 19.33% 16.14% 17% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - 200.61% - 157.17% 131.92% 126.63% - - -

Profitability

         
ROA - 3.63% 2.49% 2.98% 2.9% 3.97% 3.1% 3% 3.1%
ROE - 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.4% 12.31% 10.61% 11.09%

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.16x 5.52x 5.93x 5.9x 5.63x 4.88x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 4.14x 6.38x 9.58x 17.74x 9.35x 7.94x - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 36.4% 40.51% 24.85% 29.09% 24.11% - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 145.04% 161.83% 96.47% 114.35% 93.28% - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 146.49% - 128.56% 180.29% 141.81% - - -

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - 533.9 530.8 612.7 657.5 762.7 - - -
Change - - -0.58% 15.44% 7.3% 16.01% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 85.6 85.6 98.6 120 156.1 198.2 195.5 206
Change - - 0% 15.19% 21.71% 30.07% 26.97% -1.37% 5.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 2,733 2,868 3,423 3,599 4,080 4,456 4,575 4,936
Change - - 4.95% 19.34% 5.15% 13.36% 9.21% 2.67% 7.9%
EPS 1 - 259.4 231.4 298.6 307.7 400.3 530.4 483.5 529.7
Change - - -10.8% 29.05% 3.08% 30.07% 32.5% -8.83% 9.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 1,165,774 1,146,829 1,151,412 1,136,168 1,059,384 1,092,236 1,092,236 1,092,236
Announcement Date - 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/12/25 5/11/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 12.1x 13.3x
PBR 1.44x 1.4x
EV / Sales 2.06x 1.97x
Yield 3.09% 3.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
6,388.00JPY
Average target price
6,518.75JPY
Spread / Average Target
+2.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 8591 Stock
  4. IX Stock
  5. Financials ORIX Corporation