Projected Income Statement: Northern Star Resources Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Northern Star Resources Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - Northern Star Resources Limited
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -59.6 -362 64.9 -429 377 1,200 502 -655
Change - -507.38% 117.93% -761.02% 187.88% 218.13% -58.17% -230.48%
Announcement Date 8/28/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/20/25 8/19/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Northern Star Resources Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 1,029 1,059 1,440 2,296 2,713 2,821 2,682 2,870
Change - 2.96% 35.95% 59.48% 18.12% 4% -4.94% 7.03%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 717.9 308.9 569.2 1,423 627.7 931.8 2,562 3,112
Change - -56.97% 84.27% 150% -55.89% 48.44% 174.99% 21.45%
Announcement Date 8/28/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/20/25 8/19/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Northern Star Resources Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 40.62% 37.21% 44.55% 54.58% 56.02% 49.37% 57.16% 58.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.74% 11.57% 21.54% 33.3% 35.09% 30.44% 39.74% 40.68%
EBT Margin (%) 16.33% 20.45% 18.84% 30.43% 31.54% 30.96% 39.32% 41.75%
Net margin (%) 11.51% 14.16% 12.97% 20.88% 21.83% 20.4% 27.28% 30.4%
FCF margin (%) 19.22% 7.48% 11.57% 22.18% 8.23% 10.82% 23.41% 26.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 167.03% 52.8% 89.15% 106.22% 37.72% 53.05% 85.82% 86.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.84% 2.56% 5.03% 8% 7.94% 8.53% 13.72% 14.1%
ROE 5.31% 3.6% 7.39% 11.3% 10.88% 11.73% 17.23% 17.57%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.03x - 0.09x 0.28x 0.08x -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.11x - 0.6x 1.29x 0.2x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 27.54% 25.64% 29.26% 35.8% 35.59% 32.76% 24.51% 24.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 67.8% 68.91% 65.68% 65.59% 63.52% 66.36% 42.88% 41.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 143.29% 342.89% 252.99% 161.38% 432.17% 302.79% 104.67% 92.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.369 1.161 1.786 2.461 2.212 2.551 3.783 3.994
Change - -15.14% 53.78% 37.78% -10.09% 15.32% 48.27% 5.59%
Dividend per Share 1 0.215 0.265 0.4 0.55 0.55 0.4941 0.7344 0.8215
Change - 23.26% 50.94% 37.5% 0% -10.17% 48.64% 11.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.051 7.376 7.656 10.44 11.01 11.7 13.23 15
Change - 4.6% 3.81% 36.39% 5.4% 6.3% 13.09% 13.35%
EPS 1 0.368 0.503 0.551 1.116 1.157 1.198 2.034 2.514
Change - 36.68% 9.54% 102.54% 3.67% 3.52% 69.79% 23.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,165,126 1,150,246 1,148,366 1,427,678 1,423,898 1,424,126 1,424,126 1,424,126
Announcement Date 8/28/22 8/23/23 8/21/24 8/20/25 8/19/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 21.1x 12.4x
PBR 2.16x 1.91x
EV / Sales 4.32x 3.33x
Yield 1.96% 2.91%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Northern Star Resources Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Northern Star Resources Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Northern Star Resources Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Northern Star Resources Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
25.27AUD
Average target price
27.01AUD
Spread / Average Target
+6.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Northern Star Resources Limited
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