Projected Income Statement: Nidec Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nidec Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 311,949 396,055 519,251 383,894 389,807 303,548 138,235 -36,493
Change - 26.96% 31.11% -26.07% 1.54% -22.13% -54.46% -126.4%
Announcement Date 4/22/21 4/21/22 4/24/23 4/23/24 4/24/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nidec Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 88,900 98,580 137,814 112,049 120,711 130,488 135,833 140,000
Change - 10.89% 39.8% -18.7% 7.73% 8.1% 4.1% 3.07%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 118,600 -17,603 -21,458 167,934 137,173 114,654 177,938 197,342
Change - -114.84% -21.9% 882.62% -18.32% -16.42% 55.2% 10.9%
Announcement Date 4/22/21 4/21/22 4/24/23 4/23/24 4/24/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nidec Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.76% 14.41% 9.79% 12.55% 14.51% 11.97% 14.47% 14.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.89% 8.94% 4.46% 6.95% 9.21% 5.12% 9.27% 10.12%
EBT Margin (%) 9.45% 8.92% 5.38% 8.64% 9.07% 6.46% 9.2% 9.98%
Net margin (%) 7.54% 7.14% 2.01% 5.34% 6.43% 5.63% 6.95% 7.61%
FCF margin (%) 7.33% -0.92% -0.96% 7.15% 5.26% 4.34% 6.57% 6.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) 97.23% -12.86% -47.68% 133.93% 81.8% 77.15% 94.54% 91.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 7% 6.92% 1.62% 6.71% 5.17% 4.51% 6.19% 6.48%
ROE 11.9% 11.5% 3.4% 8.4% 9.8% 7.8% 10.07% 10.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.22x 1.43x 2.37x 1.3x 1.03x 0.96x 0.35x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.63x -22.5x -24.2x 2.29x 2.84x 2.65x 0.78x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.49% 5.14% 6.14% 4.77% 4.63% 4.94% 5.02% 4.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.86% 35.66% 62.77% 38.02% 31.91% 41.27% 34.66% 33.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 74.96% -560.02% -642.25% 66.72% 88% 113.81% 76.34% 70.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 186.8 207 142.9 223.4 263.2 217.7 285.5 297.5
Change - 10.82% -30.96% 56.35% 17.83% -17.28% 31.1% 4.22%
Dividend per Share 1 30 32.5 35 37.5 40 43 47.08 52.5
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 6.67% 7.5% 9.5% 11.5%
Book Value Per Share 1 935.6 1,114 1,178 1,420 1,498 1,589 1,736 1,897
Change - 19.11% 5.73% 20.53% 5.47% 6.11% 9.25% 9.25%
EPS 1 104.1 117.2 39.1 109.1 146 129.9 164.6 188.3
Change - 12.51% -66.63% 179.09% 33.76% -10.97% 26.67% 14.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,171,466 1,160,524 1,148,061 1,149,199 1,148,428 1,146,310 1,146,310 1,146,310
Announcement Date 4/22/21 4/21/22 4/24/23 4/23/24 4/24/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.7x 15.5x
PBR 1.61x 1.47x
EV / Sales 1.22x 1.13x
Yield 1.68% 1.84%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
2,556.00JPY
Average target price
2,622.11JPY
Spread / Average Target
+2.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 6594 Stock
  4. NIB Stock
  5. Financials Nidec Corporation