Projected Income Statement: Nick Scali Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 17 2.44 -39.6 -29.3 -34.9 -28.4 -41.1 -54
Change - -85.65% -1,722.95% 26.01% -19.11% 18.64% -44.72% -31.39%
Announcement Date 8/21/22 8/10/23 8/8/24 8/7/25 8/6/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 18.98 12.89 28.46 14.57 22.99 19.52 19.24 20.38
Change - -32.09% 120.79% -48.79% 57.74% -15.06% -1.47% 5.92%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 103.9 125 102.7 100.9 131.5 122.3 142.3 155
Change - 20.3% -17.83% -1.75% 30.25% -6.96% 16.33% 8.93%
Announcement Date 8/21/22 8/10/23 8/8/24 8/7/25 8/6/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 37.68% 38.82% 37.38% 32.12% 34.97% 33.84% 34.17% 34.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.25% 30.39% 27.66% 21.34% 24.13% 22.67% 23.22% 23.9%
EBT Margin (%) 24.48% 28.27% 24.87% 17.63% 21.33% 19.68% 20.5% 21.63%
Net margin (%) 16.99% 19.91% 17.22% 11.65% 14.65% 13.82% 14.3% 14.97%
FCF margin (%) 23.57% 24.62% 21.94% 20.38% 25.44% 23.08% 24.94% 25.03%
FCF / Net Income (%) 138.7% 123.67% 127.43% 174.9% 173.65% 166.93% 174.42% 167.22%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.23% 16.52% 12.51% 8.79% 10.3% 11.08% 11.46% 12.71%
ROE 58.77% 63.01% 37.52% 23.64% 27.14% 25.56% 27.14% 29.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.1x 0.01x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.16x 0.02x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.3% 2.54% 6.08% 2.94% 4.45% 3.68% 3.37% 3.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.42% 6.54% 16.26% 9.16% 12.72% 10.89% 9.87% 9.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 18.26% 10.31% 27.7% 14.44% 17.49% 15.96% 13.52% 13.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.51 1.702 1.607 1.352 1.806 1.577 1.801 2.029
Change - 12.72% -5.63% -15.86% 33.57% -12.64% 14.17% 12.67%
Dividend per Share 1 0.6 0.75 0.68 0.63 0.72 0.7232 0.7935 0.9065
Change - 25% -9.33% -7.35% 14.29% 0.44% 9.72% 14.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.74 2.221 3.024 3.118 3.271 3.408 3.547 3.699
Change - 27.66% 36.17% 3.09% 4.91% 4.2% 4.08% 4.28%
EPS 1 0.925 1.248 0.987 0.675 0.885 0.8504 0.9524 1.098
Change - 34.92% -20.91% -31.61% 31.11% -3.91% 12% 15.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 81,000 81,000 85,231 85,531 85,531 85,531 85,531 85,531
Announcement Date 8/21/22 8/10/23 8/8/24 8/7/25 8/6/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 17.5x 15.6x
PBR 4.37x 4.19x
EV / Sales 2.35x 2.16x
Yield 4.86% 5.33%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
14.88AUD
Average target price
18.10AUD
Spread / Average Target
+21.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NCK Stock
  4. Financials Nick Scali Limited