Projected Income Statement: Nick Scali Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -73.2 17 2.44 -39.6 -29.3 -24.9 -35.9 -47.5
Change - 123.22% -85.65% -1,722.95% 26.01% 15.03% -44.18% -32.31%
Announcement Date 8/4/21 8/21/22 8/10/23 8/8/24 8/7/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 15.64 18.98 12.89 28.46 14.57 22.55 18.76 18.59
Change - 21.37% -32.09% 120.79% -48.79% 54.75% -16.82% -0.92%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 124.8 103.9 125 102.7 100.9 117.6 129.1 147
Change - -16.73% 20.3% -17.83% -1.75% 16.54% 9.78% 13.82%
Announcement Date 8/4/21 8/21/22 8/10/23 8/8/24 8/7/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.94% 37.68% 38.82% 37.38% 32.12% 34.17% 33.33% 33.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 32.68% 28.25% 30.39% 27.66% 21.34% 23.55% 22.31% 23.06%
EBT Margin (%) 32.5% 24.48% 28.27% 24.87% 17.63% 20.74% 19.53% 20.72%
Net margin (%) 22.58% 16.99% 19.91% 17.22% 11.65% 14.2% 13.77% 14.38%
FCF margin (%) 33.46% 23.57% 24.62% 21.94% 20.38% 22.1% 23.56% 24.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) 148.14% 138.7% 123.67% 127.43% 174.9% 155.61% 171.07% 173.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 21.02% 14.23% 16.52% 12.51% 8.79% 11.07% 10.64% 11.23%
ROE 88.94% 58.77% 63.01% 37.52% 23.64% 27.37% 25.75% 27.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.1x 0.01x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.16x 0.02x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.19% 4.3% 2.54% 6.08% 2.94% 4.24% 3.42% 3.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.35% 11.42% 6.54% 16.26% 9.16% 12.4% 10.27% 9.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 12.53% 18.26% 10.31% 27.7% 14.44% 19.17% 14.53% 12.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.734 1.51 1.702 1.607 1.352 1.606 1.668 1.84
Change - -12.88% 12.72% -5.63% -15.86% 18.84% 3.84% 10.33%
Dividend per Share 1 0.65 0.6 0.75 0.68 0.63 0.699 0.6886 0.7743
Change - -7.69% 25% -9.33% -7.35% 10.96% -1.49% 12.45%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.408 1.74 2.221 3.024 3.118 3.316 3.508 3.723
Change - 23.6% 27.66% 36.17% 3.09% 6.35% 5.79% 6.14%
EPS 1 1.04 0.925 1.248 0.987 0.675 0.8763 0.8858 1.002
Change - -11.06% 34.92% -20.91% -31.61% 29.82% 1.08% 13.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 81,000 81,000 81,000 85,231 85,531 85,531 85,531 85,531
Announcement Date 8/4/21 8/21/22 8/10/23 8/8/24 8/7/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.2x 17x
PBR 4.54x 4.29x
EV / Sales 2.37x 2.28x
Yield 4.64% 4.58%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
15.05AUD
Average target price
17.10AUD
Spread / Average Target
+13.63%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NCK Stock
  4. Financials Nick Scali Limited