Projected Income Statement: Nestlé Nigeria Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nestlé Nigeria Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -23,651 37,549 234,764 631,251 440,872 316,245 239,573 193,164
Change - 258.76% 525.22% 168.89% -30.16% -28.27% -24.24% -19.37%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1NGN in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nestlé Nigeria Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 21,077 27,724 61,248 72,591 112,544 63,432 51,664 46,586
Change - 31.54% 120.92% 18.52% 55.04% -43.64% -18.55% -9.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 43,359 -32,157 21,455 -66,732 250,958 162,946 205,120 229,516
Change - -174.16% 166.72% -411.03% 476.07% -35.07% 25.88% 11.89%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1NGN in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nestlé Nigeria Plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.85% 21.62% 24.76% 20.51% 21.9% 24.25% 24.77% 24.92%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.46% 19.44% 22.63% 17.51% 18.66% 21.09% 21.62% 21.77%
EBT Margin (%) 17.59% 15.91% -19.01% -23.11% 13.81% 16.97% 17.51% 18.38%
Net margin (%) 11.38% 10.96% -14.53% -17.17% 8.69% 10.93% 11.48% 12.07%
FCF margin (%) 12.32% -7.2% 3.92% -6.96% 20.78% 11.86% 13.06% 12.9%
FCF / Net Income (%) 108.3% -65.67% -27% 40.54% 239.09% 108.55% 113.73% 106.85%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.39% 13.5% -15.95% -22.85% 12.31% 14.97% 16.77% 17.33%
ROE 158.02% 189.53% - - - 136.03% 79.9% 69.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.39x 1.73x 3.21x 1.67x 0.95x 0.62x 0.44x
Debt / Free cash flow - -1.17x 10.94x -9.46x 1.76x 1.94x 1.17x 0.84x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.99% 6.2% 11.19% 7.57% 9.32% 4.62% 3.29% 2.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.22% 28.69% 45.21% 36.9% 42.55% 19.04% 13.28% 10.51%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.61% -86.21% 285.47% -108.78% 44.85% 38.93% 25.19% 20.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - 7.391 - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 50.5 51.5 - - - 40.54 158.3 199
Change - 1.98% - - - - 290.5% 25.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 26.97 38.21 -100.3 -116.4 16.26 124.6 172.3 223.7
Change - 41.68% -362.4% -16.13% 113.97% 666.14% 38.31% 29.82%
EPS 1 50.51 61.77 -100.3 -207.6 132.4 189.4 227.5 271
Change - 22.29% -262.31% -107.11% 163.77% 43.02% 20.15% 19.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1NGN
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.3x 12.7x
PBR 23.3x 16.8x
EV / Sales 1.9x 1.62x
Yield 1.4% 5.46%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
2,900.00NGN
Average target price
3,343.20NGN
Spread / Average Target
+15.28%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NESTLE Stock
  4. Financials Nestlé Nigeria Plc