Projected Income Statement: NESTLE

Forecast Balance Sheet: NESTLE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 32,579 47,625 49,390 56,005 51,382 50,587 49,278 47,273
Change - 46.18% 3.71% 13.39% -8.25% -1.55% -2.59% -4.07%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NESTLE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,341 5,095 5,714 5,963 4,911 4,344 4,452 4,588
Change - -4.61% 12.15% 4.36% -17.64% -11.54% 2.48% 3.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,523 6,570 10,403 10,666 9,154 9,897 10,407 11,550
Change - -22.91% 58.34% 2.53% -14.18% 8.11% 5.16% 10.98%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NESTLE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.31% 20.8% 20.98% 21.11% 20.14% 20.35% 20.7% 21.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.36% 17.05% 17.26% 17.19% 16.08% 16.24% 16.6% 16.84%
EBT Margin (%) 12.41% 11.95% 13.66% 14.49% 12.01% 13.9% 14.44% 15.06%
Net margin (%) 19.41% 9.82% 12.05% 11.91% 10.09% 11.7% 12.12% 12.67%
FCF margin (%) 9.79% 6.96% 11.19% 11.68% 10.23% 11.16% 11.35% 12.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 50.42% 70.87% 92.81% 98% 101.34% 95.4% 93.61% 96.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.85% 6.76% 9.71% 8.19% 8.54% 8.62% 9.08% 9.47%
ROE 34.21% 19.49% 28.84% 30.38% 33.1% 32.62% 32.25% 31.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.76x 2.42x 2.53x 2.9x 2.85x 2.8x 2.6x 2.38x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.82x 7.25x 4.75x 5.25x 5.61x 5.11x 4.74x 4.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.13% 5.4% 6.14% 6.53% 5.49% 4.9% 4.86% 4.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.78% 25.94% 29.29% 30.92% 27.25% 24.06% 23.45% 23.06%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 62.67% 77.55% 54.93% 55.91% 53.65% 43.9% 42.78% 39.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.967 4.395 6.025 6.423 6.174 5.131 5.413 5.768
Change - -11.52% 37.07% 6.62% -3.88% -16.9% 5.51% 6.56%
Dividend per Share 1 2.8 2.95 3 3.05 3.1 3.139 3.193 3.291
Change - 5.36% 1.69% 1.67% 1.64% 1.25% 1.71% 3.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 19.26 15.21 13.15 13.96 12.76 13.79 14.78 16.16
Change - -21% -13.58% 6.19% -8.63% 8.13% 7.18% 9.29%
EPS 1 6.06 3.42 4.23 4.19 3.51 4.018 4.315 4.666
Change - -43.56% 23.68% -0.95% -16.23% 14.46% 7.4% 8.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,750,456 2,759,592 2,588,141 2,571,306 2,572,715 2,572,225 2,572,225 2,572,225
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.6x 18.3x
PBR 5.71x 5.33x
EV / Sales 2.85x 2.75x
Yield 3.98% 4.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
78.78CHF
Average target price
87.87CHF
Spread / Average Target
+11.54%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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