Projected Income Statement: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 746 751 404 479 429 352 339 283
Change - 0.67% -46.21% 18.56% -10.44% -18.04% -3.69% -16.52%
Announcement Date 10/20/21 10/20/22 10/25/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 53.75 61.37 92.49 99.41 92.84 92.14 99.49 102.8
Change - 14.19% 50.71% 7.47% -6.61% -0.75% 7.97% 3.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 170.7 184.8 607.1 311.3 240.9 239.9 280.4 311.8
Change - 8.26% 228.49% -48.72% -22.62% -0.39% 16.88% 11.2%
Announcement Date 10/20/21 10/20/22 10/25/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.59% 14.78% 14.46% 12.77% 10.78% 11.8% 12.69% 13.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.46% 12.87% 12.58% 10.66% 8.38% 9.3% 10.29% 10.99%
EBT Margin (%) 8.89% 12.22% 11.38% 8.97% 6.99% 8.21% 9.4% 10.17%
Net margin (%) 6.69% 9.2% 8.56% 6.77% 5.29% 6.27% 7.11% 7.69%
FCF margin (%) 5.26% 5.01% 15.14% 8.15% 6.39% 6.01% 6.58% 6.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 78.7% 54.39% 176.87% 120.38% 120.84% 95.82% 92.62% 90.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.14% 13.28% 13.42% 10.33% 8.1% 10.7% 12.5% 14.5%
ROE 21.89% 27.56% 25% 18.01% 14.34% 18.16% 21.23% 24.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.69x 1.38x 0.7x 0.98x 1.06x 0.75x 0.63x 0.47x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.37x 4.06x 0.67x 1.54x 1.78x 1.47x 1.21x 0.91x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.66% 1.66% 2.31% 2.6% 2.46% 2.31% 2.34% 2.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.2% 11.25% 15.96% 20.37% 22.84% 19.57% 18.41% 17.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 31.48% 33.21% 15.24% 31.93% 38.54% 38.4% 35.48% 32.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.002 4.393 12.45 - 5.97 4.21 4.66 5.4
Change - 9.77% 183.34% - - -29.49% 10.69% 15.88%
Dividend per Share 1 6.5 3.04 3.16 3.32 3.4 3.501 3.687 3.863
Change - -53.23% 3.95% 5.06% 2.41% 2.97% 5.32% 4.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 20.65 24.1 22.45 24.74 25.04 25.82 26.95 28.62
Change - 16.7% -6.84% 10.21% 1.19% 3.13% 4.38% 6.2%
EPS 1 3.87 6.06 6.11 4.58 3.57 4.49 5.435 6.229
Change - 56.59% 0.83% -25.04% -22.05% 25.76% 21.05% 14.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 55,647 55,985 56,052 56,123 55,676 55,846 55,846 55,846
Announcement Date 10/20/21 10/20/22 10/25/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 26.8x 22.2x
PBR 4.67x 4.47x
EV / Sales 1.77x 1.66x
Yield 2.91% 3.06%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
120.51USD
Average target price
131.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.70%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MSM Stock
  4. Financials MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
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