Projected Income Statement: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 746 751 404 479 429 336 339 283
Change - 0.67% -46.21% 18.56% -10.44% -21.76% 0.89% -16.52%
Announcement Date 10/20/21 10/20/22 10/25/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 53.75 61.37 92.49 99.41 92.84 92.14 99.49 102.7
Change - 14.19% 50.71% 7.47% -6.61% -0.76% 7.98% 3.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 170.7 184.8 607.1 311.3 240.9 239.7 280.4 311.8
Change - 8.26% 228.49% -48.72% -22.62% -0.47% 16.98% 11.2%
Announcement Date 10/20/21 10/20/22 10/25/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.59% 14.78% 14.46% 12.77% 10.78% 11.8% 12.69% 13.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.46% 12.87% 12.58% 10.66% 8.38% 9.3% 10.29% 10.99%
EBT Margin (%) 8.89% 12.22% 11.38% 8.97% 6.99% 8.17% 9.4% 10.17%
Net margin (%) 6.69% 9.2% 8.56% 6.77% 5.29% 6.25% 7.11% 7.69%
FCF margin (%) 5.26% 5.01% 15.14% 8.15% 6.39% 6.01% 6.58% 6.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 78.7% 54.39% 176.87% 120.38% 120.84% 96.04% 92.62% 90.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.14% 13.28% 13.42% 10.33% 8.1% 10.7% 12.5% 14.5%
ROE 21.89% 27.56% 25% 18.01% 14.34% 18.16% 21.23% 24.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.69x 1.38x 0.7x 0.98x 1.06x 0.71x 0.63x 0.47x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.37x 4.06x 0.67x 1.54x 1.78x 1.4x 1.21x 0.91x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.66% 1.66% 2.31% 2.6% 2.46% 2.31% 2.34% 2.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.2% 11.25% 15.96% 20.37% 22.84% 19.57% 18.41% 17.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 31.48% 33.21% 15.24% 31.93% 38.54% 38.43% 35.48% 32.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.002 4.393 12.45 - 5.97 4.21 4.66 5.4
Change - 9.77% 183.34% - - -29.49% 10.69% 15.88%
Dividend per Share 1 6.5 3.04 3.16 3.32 3.4 3.501 3.687 3.863
Change - -53.23% 3.95% 5.06% 2.41% 2.97% 5.32% 4.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 20.65 24.1 22.45 24.74 25.04 25.82 26.95 28.62
Change - 16.7% -6.84% 10.21% 1.19% 3.13% 4.38% 6.2%
EPS 1 3.87 6.06 6.11 4.58 3.57 4.481 5.436 6.232
Change - 56.59% 0.83% -25.04% -22.05% 25.52% 21.31% 14.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 55,647 55,985 56,052 56,123 55,676 55,846 55,846 55,846
Announcement Date 10/20/21 10/20/22 10/25/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 29.1x 24x
PBR 5.05x 4.84x
EV / Sales 1.91x 1.79x
Yield 2.69% 2.83%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Ratings Surperformance© - MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
130.38USD
Average target price
131.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+0.48%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
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