Projected Income Statement: Mears Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mears Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 162 -100 -109 206 270 249 243 226
Change - -161.73% -9% 288.99% 31.07% -7.86% -2.41% -7%
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/28/23 4/11/24 4/10/25 3/26/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mears Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 8.769 9.416 25.85 31.26 46.95 9.075 8.85 8.167
Change - 7.38% 174.49% 20.94% 50.19% -80.67% -2.48% -7.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1.202 101.5 110 97.54 65.7 41.84 36.2 27.84
Change - 8,545.59% 8.4% -11.36% -32.64% -36.33% -13.48% -23.1%
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/28/23 4/11/24 4/10/25 3/26/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mears Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.69% 9.89% 10.87% 12.81% 13.86% 13.61% 13.44% 13.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.83% 4.33% 4.74% 6.41% 6.61% 5.5% 5.37% 5.51%
EBT Margin (%) 1.86% 3.64% 4.31% 5.66% 5.59% 4.69% 4.57% 4.52%
Net margin (%) 1.61% 2.95% 3.23% 4.11% 4.07% 3.45% 3.34% 3.29%
FCF margin (%) -0.14% 10.58% 10.1% 8.61% 5.79% 3.88% 3.62% 2.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) -8.51% 358.63% 312.6% 209.65% 142.15% 112.43% 108.16% 84.07%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 6.64% 6.41% 4.97% 4.48% 4.13%
ROE 11.59% 13.72% 17.18% 24.38% 23.96% 16.83% 14.04% 12.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.91x - - 1.42x 1.72x 1.7x 1.8x 1.64x
Debt / Free cash flow -134.99x - - 2.11x 4.11x 5.96x 6.71x 8.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1% 0.98% 2.37% 2.76% 4.13% 0.84% 0.88% 0.81%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.31% 9.93% 21.83% 21.54% 29.82% 6.19% 6.58% 5.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -729.53% 9.28% 23.49% 32.05% 71.45% 21.69% 24.45% 29.34%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5012 0.9775 1.233 1.353 1.313 0.8901 0.8236 0.833
Change - 95.02% 26.13% 9.72% -2.95% -32.2% -7.48% 1.14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.08 0.105 0.13 0.16 0.16 0.1839 0.1928 0.2018
Change - 31.25% 23.81% 23.08% 0% 14.92% 4.88% 4.64%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.805 1.913 1.945 2.028 2.333 3.05 3.262 3.548
Change - 5.97% 1.67% 4.29% 15.02% 30.73% 6.95% 8.76%
EPS 1 0.1249 0.2494 0.3194 0.4886 0.5386 0.4536 0.4226 0.4143
Change - 99.68% 28.07% 52.97% 10.23% -15.78% -6.83% -1.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 110,927 110,993 99,076 90,764 86,475 83,656 83,656 83,656
Announcement Date 3/31/22 4/28/23 4/11/24 4/10/25 3/26/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.14x 9.81x
PBR 1.36x 1.27x
EV / Sales 0.55x 0.59x
Yield 4.44% 4.65%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
4.145GBP
Average target price
5.148GBP
Spread / Average Target
+24.21%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MER Stock
  4. Financials Mears Group plc
-40%: Exceptional extension
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